NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a402c56afeb97a2e4307e34308b15f4a1103a78c5e3a94a2bbc405e53756378
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Rockets, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Lakers | 43c | 50,401$21,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,857.35 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Rockets | 58c | 30,841$17,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,887.59 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23c9…7095backed Rockets | 0c | 16,902$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Rockets | 56c | 11,403$6,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,385.57 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Lakers | 43c | 7,395$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,215.2 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rockets | 10c | 5,195$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.17 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Rockets | 25c | 5,132$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.31 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Rockets | 56c | 3,477$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.2 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Rockets | 57c | 3,410$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.53 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets | 56c | 3,200$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.49 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Lakers | 63c | 2,989$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.72 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Rockets | 54c | 2,657$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.56 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0891…148dbacked Rockets | 17c | 2,141$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Lakers | 54c | 1,908$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.96 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Rockets | 45c | 1,750$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.79 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Lakers | 46c | 1,683$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.7 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Rockets | 57c | 1,669$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.5 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Lakers | 71c | 1,395$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.29 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…b180backed Rockets | 57c | 1,218$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.12 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Rockets | 29c | 1,147$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.62 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3b…0230backed Rockets | 65c | 900.35$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.49 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Rockets | 2c | 900$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Lakers | 79c | 831.3$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.43 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Lakers | 46c | 800.34$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.67 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Rockets | 14c | 636.07$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.08 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Rockets | 15c | 631.06$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.74 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Rockets | 56c | 618.91$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.59 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Rockets | 56c | 608.5$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.76 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…1fe2backed Rockets | 28c | 592.85$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.32 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Lakers | 74c | 537.95$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.87 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Lakers | 76c | 535.06$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.12 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Lakers | 78c | 527.12$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.97 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Lakers | 52c | 522.41$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.7 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x027b…019cbacked Lakers | 78c | 517.07$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.99 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Lakers | 78c | 484.92$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.52 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Rockets | 55c | 416.41$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.02 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Rockets | 55c | 389.2$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.06 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Rockets | 48c | 344.37$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.66 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Rockets | 53c | 307.01$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.9 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d4…5f81backed Rockets | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Lakers | 65c | 249.55$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.34 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Rockets | 55c | 240.96$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.43 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Rockets | 35c | 222.95$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.93 | 165 | 55.8%92 W · 73 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164d…50c0backed Lakers | 80c | 222$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eec…e587backed Lakers | 44c | 219.05$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.67 | 208 | 55.8%116 W · 92 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Rockets | 20c | 211.62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Lakers | 44c | 207.32$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.1 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Rockets | 47c | 204.34$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -17.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Rockets | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33c…0f39backed Lakers | 74c | 199.54$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.88 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Lakers | 67c | 150.78$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.03 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lakers | 54c | 149.25$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.32 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Lakers | 45c | 148.32$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.57 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Rockets | 17c | 135.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x41c1…89cebacked Rockets | 45c | 129.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Lakers | 50c | 121.66$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.83 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.26per pick | 38cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Rockets | 25c | 106.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 274 | 63.5%174 W · 100 L | +34.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdb…6404backed Rockets | 18c | 105.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 531 | 41.8%222 W · 309 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Rockets | 14c | 103.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc6…1cedbacked Rockets | 19c | 100.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Rockets | 27c | 100.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 160 | 33.1%53 W · 107 L | -17.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -43%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x78ce…d078backed Lakers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…8ddabacked Lakers | 70c | 99.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 51 | 80.4%41 W · 10 L | +9.7wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +33%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…b28bbacked Rockets | 20c | 99.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd85a…1d03backed Lakers | 80c | 98.8$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Rockets | 44c | 98.05$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…db97backed Rockets | 22c | 95.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | -9.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55a3…fd93backed Rockets | 21c | 94.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…bb1dbacked Lakers | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Lakers | 78c | 85.18$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4284…4e8cbacked Lakers | 44c | 81.35$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Lakers | 50c | 78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 312 | 38.5%120 W · 192 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Rockets | 26c | 75.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 160 | 20%32 W · 128 L | -27.0wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9966…f991backed Lakers | 57c | 73.75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Lakers | 66c | 72.93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Lakers | 78c | 66.65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Lakers | 78c | 66.63$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…1448backed Rockets | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Rockets | 44c | 59.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Rockets | 21c | 59.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Lakers | 66c | 58.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x038f…ecc5backed Lakers | 44c | 54.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +6.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rockets | 29c | 54.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…1d39backed Lakers | 46c | 52.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Lakers | 45c | 50.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Rockets | 33c | 49.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Rockets | 24c | 47.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…293ebacked Rockets | 23c | 45.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Lakers | 43c | 44.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe67…dd7ebacked Lakers | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1101…5de1backed Lakers | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…5a42backed Rockets | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489e…bcbbbacked Lakers | 45c | 42.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f6…cd51backed Rockets | 50c | 40.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Lakers | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14bc…3904backed Lakers | 45c | 29.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Lakers | 55c | 23.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Lakers | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc0…749abacked Rockets | 51c | 21.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Rockets | 56c | 19.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Lakers won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Lakers vs. RocketsLakers won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 205.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 207.5Over won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Luke Kennard: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Luke Kennard: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Luke Kennard: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-10.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Rockets (-9.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.