TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kevin Durant: Points O/U 23.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,788
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,633

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,788 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x462d…ce9bbacked Yes1c27,329$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.177353.4%39 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Yes25c10,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50049244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed No73c3,276$2,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.2336954.7%202 W · 167 L+28.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Yes3c1,485$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.857326%19 W · 54 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick15cpaid+19.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb2a6…c567backed Yes1c1,321$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.17425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick16cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked No59c1,129$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.21,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Yes40c999.9$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9684342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8b5…9cebbacked Yes42c938.35$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.8320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked No54c779.58$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.4439265.1%255 W · 137 L+31.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ff8…8a76backed Yes44c675.64$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.2813751.1%70 W · 67 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Yes42c658.55$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.385550.9%28 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+25.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked No60c658.04$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.68451.2%43 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7df9…3a84backed No61c602.35$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.963470.6%24 W · 10 L+5.4wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+23.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed Yes5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304526.7%12 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e3…d1ffbacked Yes5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-65.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Yes53c497.18$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.514339.5%17 W · 26 L-6.8wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-34.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc94d…9eb2backed Yes45c432.32$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.3720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e85…788bbacked No50c422.87$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.5115651.9%81 W · 75 L+14.8wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed No58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16895548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked No75c398.06$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.516240.3%25 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed No45c352.7$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.25,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf836…f39cbacked No62c274.5$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.7127059.6%161 W · 109 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd816…a60ebacked Yes41c235.27$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.461931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-35%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7cd…7db3backed Yes42c229.98$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.528354.2%45 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3aa1…baa1backed Yes41c220.37$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.356943.5%30 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked No60c219.6$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.8410645.3%48 W · 58 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c17…3844backed No60c216.15$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.464953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe299…761bbacked Yes40c202.7$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9831540.3%127 W · 188 L-15.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked No59c195.96$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.3414049.3%69 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ee…446cbacked Yes55c177.42$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.291338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b7…48d4backed Yes55c177.08$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+129.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed Yes42c170.18$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1143752.6%230 W · 207 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked No58c169.35$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1371449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked No60c169.18$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4592058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed No60c164.86$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.9529352.9%155 W · 138 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99cf…9553backed Yes47c164.8$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13a9…e573backed No46c157.33$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.5312347.2%58 W · 65 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c43…31c1backed No52c145.66$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2112044.2%53 W · 67 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x656e…b45abacked Yes47c112.31$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.79560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa297…2fbcbacked Yes47c100.94$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.44425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-53.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed No57c96$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2854443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed No59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7597049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cca…3c3bbacked Yes47c82.6$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.733435.3%12 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x42bb…6fa4backed Yes40c81.86$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed No59c74.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7510148.5%49 W · 52 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Yes55c68.91$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.920146.8%94 W · 107 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked No60c63.65$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.461,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6691…5a83backed Yes41c60.93$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.98520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-57.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.233556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No59c59.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.656043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed No60c58.56$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4230256.6%171 W · 131 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dcc…a249backed No75c52.53$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.13520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-73.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x883a…f5a0backed Yes55c52.23$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.532638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed No60c50.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.198556.5%48 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aeb…42d4backed Yes41c49.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2627539.6%109 W · 166 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6163…d4d7backed Yes41c48.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.777243.1%31 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x454b…8528backed No58c47.77$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.062744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x764d…96aebacked Yes41c47.05$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.294341.9%18 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1193…d9c4backed No60c46.14$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.672352.2%12 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed No46c45$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.396956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe93…8d0ebacked No61c43$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8632866.5%218 W · 110 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked No60c42.7$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0816450%82 W · 82 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e14…ffa6backed Yes45c42.62$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.34728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-39.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Yes47c41.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3635551.3%182 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6df…ec06backed Yes48c40.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.41560%9 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+81.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec69…d6d8backed No59c40.29$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5710753.3%57 W · 50 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed No58c38.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3814753.1%78 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed No58c38.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3836153.5%193 W · 168 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7894…7b9dbacked No58c36.07$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.159245.7%42 W · 50 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa06…74c3backed No60c32.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.011442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-38.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked No60c32.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.018740.2%35 W · 52 L-9.4wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed No59c30.7$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5926147.1%123 W · 138 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Yes54c29.17$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7524955%137 W · 112 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Yes49c25.92$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.719748.2%95 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked No49c24.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6826957.2%154 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7861…3d27backed No60c23.91$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.567930.4%24 W · 55 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x97a9…8144backed Yes52c21.77$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00ea…4013backed No59c21.15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.675046%23 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked No59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.21625%4 W · 12 L-4.4wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-54.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6594…6593backed No60c19.52$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.811464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.