TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Rockets (-10.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lakersof Rockets, Lakers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,678
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,461

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,678 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed Lakers56c11,980$6,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,220.445848.3%28 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets43c9,037$3,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,859.616,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rockets15c7,691$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.278,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Rockets47c6,269$2,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,946.4359646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets40c4,531$1,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,822.614,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Lakers53c4,283$2,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,012.8615849.4%78 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac25…433fbacked Rockets46c3,421$1,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,573.518038.8%31 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Rockets34c3,248$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.6329245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets44c2,870$1,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.154,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Lakers53c2,455$1,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.9546145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36f2…dab4backed Rockets44c2,306$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.727951.9%41 W · 38 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe903…6adbbacked Lakers57c2,050$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.497156.3%40 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Lakers59c1,660$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.0769049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Lakers63c1,634$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.2821957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Rockets44c1,442$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.7766352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x779a…b689backed Lakers67c1,425$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.357852.6%41 W · 37 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Rockets17c1,421$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.1526336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93a7…b221backed Lakers58c1,410$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.241957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Rockets43c1,316$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.2732045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Rockets43c1,240$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.2418444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked Rockets45c1,034$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.322817.9%5 W · 23 L-7.1wins-0.25per pick43cpaid-53.3%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Lakers53c1,031$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.6224247.1%114 W · 128 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Lakers55c999.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45028056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Lakers56c930.43$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.3920552.2%107 W · 98 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Lakers56c871.8$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.0527158.3%158 W · 113 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Lakers66c868.28$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2969654.2%52 W · 44 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5cee…dfadbacked Lakers58c841.6$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.4413655.9%76 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Lakers56c835.29$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.51,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rockets44c800$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3485,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Lakers55c796.09$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.2440041.5%166 W · 234 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Rockets44c746.43$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.7316642.2%70 W · 96 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Lakers57c737.53$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.3973649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Lakers55c681.1$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.542348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Rockets45c620.07$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.0369848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0554…7a1fbacked Lakers55c619.18$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.6318337.2%68 W · 115 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Rockets44c551.82$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.381,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed Lakers54c540.22$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.59455.3%52 W · 42 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc68a…07f0backed Lakers56c521.57$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.492842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Lakers58c505.83$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.4228949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Rockets45c463.86$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.621,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Rockets47c458.74$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.611,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Lakers65c452.05$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.3529554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Rockets33c450$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.516743.7%73 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Lakers66c445.27$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.3936248.1%174 W · 188 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Lakers66c439.56$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.6411261.6%69 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Rockets43c433.59$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.471,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc42…01b2backed Lakers67c430.23$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.5511651.7%60 W · 56 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Lakers59c415.9$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.11450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Rockets36c382.14$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.5779650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Rockets37c369.24$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.6217052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Rockets43c325.6$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.452150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Rockets12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3636243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4209…7582backed Lakers54c259.13$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.233235.5%118 W · 214 L-27.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd52f…88fabacked Lakers58c252.1$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.885850%29 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Rockets43c251.65$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.9587049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3092…c9a8backed Rockets9c238.03$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.575141.2%21 W · 30 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-22.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Lakers57c236.15$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.541,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Lakers56c224.8$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.9123445.7%107 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Rockets45c214.89$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.729346.4%136 W · 157 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7987…884abacked Lakers58c210.09$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.2425850%129 W · 129 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Lakers57c204.87$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.163746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Lakers57c204.87$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.141753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Rockets33c199.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669627.1%26 W · 70 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa804…bdc1backed Lakers67c199.96$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.997237.5%27 W · 45 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe098…8ee2backed Lakers58c194.96$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8820754.1%112 W · 95 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Lakers56c194.72$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.6825657%146 W · 110 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Lakers55c175.14$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8111242%47 W · 65 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Rockets25c171.89$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.971,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Lakers58c168.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5947357.9%274 W · 199 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b71…80ecbacked Rockets47c154.5$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.628545.9%39 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb651…4a7cbacked Lakers55c153.91$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.262560%15 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb675…779fbacked Rockets21c153.3$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.932520%5 W · 20 L-5.5wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-63%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x46df…b057backed Lakers65c151.02$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1321164.5%136 W · 75 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x69c4…09a3backed Lakers54c150.74$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3410250%51 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Lakers66c148.42$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4629665.5%194 W · 102 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec6c…c407backed Lakers57c146.35$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.932157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Lakers79c146.14$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.691,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Rockets45c145.36$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4149244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x165e…5ec7backed Lakers54c140.63$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Rockets43c134.76$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.958350.6%42 W · 41 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd518…a1b2backed Lakers56c130.39$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.371822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-40.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Rockets44c125.9$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4293543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d1f…48a4backed Lakers56c120.78$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8110948.6%53 W · 56 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad8f…6b52backed Lakers55c114.99$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.753767.6%25 W · 12 L+6.4wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+28.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x9450…d9e6backed Rockets47c114.95$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.031546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Lakers57c103.28$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4132351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d46…3248backed Lakers66c100.76$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.264746.8%22 W · 25 L+6.5wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+81.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Lakers75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2522170.6%156 W · 65 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Rockets42c99.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4241050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b8d…6724backed Lakers65c97.9$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2623140.3%93 W · 138 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7492…6568backed Lakers56c97.36$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8431955.2%176 W · 143 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Lakers62c95.59$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.61,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Lakers56c90.98$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8362051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x276b…add4backed Lakers55c88.45$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.812451.6%64 W · 60 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0275…596dbacked Lakers56c87.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3116749.1%82 W · 85 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed Lakers57c85.46$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.759348.4%45 W · 48 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x81a4…da1fbacked Lakers57c84.97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2511443%49 W · 65 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Rockets36c81.18$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.441,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xbfbc…f42bbacked Lakers62c78.89$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0113848.6%67 W · 71 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x218e…e49dbacked Lakers63c78.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0848255%265 W · 217 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.