NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe311042f8d82228543cf0cd1e1f3d56e8151be08b83a2e394d5d7f03f7b4015
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Rockets, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Lakers | 56c | 11,980$6,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,220.44 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets | 43c | 9,037$3,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,859.61 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rockets | 15c | 7,691$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.27 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Rockets | 47c | 6,269$2,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,946.43 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets | 40c | 4,531$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,822.61 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Lakers | 53c | 4,283$2,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.86 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…433fbacked Rockets | 46c | 3,421$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.51 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Rockets | 34c | 3,248$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.63 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets | 44c | 2,870$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.15 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Lakers | 53c | 2,455$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.95 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…dab4backed Rockets | 44c | 2,306$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.72 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…6adbbacked Lakers | 57c | 2,050$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.49 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Lakers | 59c | 1,660$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.07 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Lakers | 63c | 1,634$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.28 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Rockets | 44c | 1,442$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.77 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…b689backed Lakers | 67c | 1,425$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.35 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Rockets | 17c | 1,421$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.15 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…b221backed Lakers | 58c | 1,410$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.24 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Rockets | 43c | 1,316$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.27 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Rockets | 43c | 1,240$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.24 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked Rockets | 45c | 1,034$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.32 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -7.1wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Lakers | 53c | 1,031$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.62 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Lakers | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Lakers | 56c | 930.43$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.39 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Lakers | 56c | 871.8$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.05 | 271 | 58.3%158 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Lakers | 66c | 868.28$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cee…dfadbacked Lakers | 58c | 841.6$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.44 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Lakers | 56c | 835.29$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.5 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rockets | 44c | 800$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Lakers | 55c | 796.09$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.24 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Rockets | 44c | 746.43$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.73 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Lakers | 57c | 737.53$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.39 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Lakers | 55c | 681.1$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.5 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Rockets | 45c | 620.07$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.03 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0554…7a1fbacked Lakers | 55c | 619.18$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.63 | 183 | 37.2%68 W · 115 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Rockets | 44c | 551.82$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.38 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a9…0dc7backed Lakers | 54c | 540.22$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.5 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc68a…07f0backed Lakers | 56c | 521.57$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.49 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Lakers | 58c | 505.83$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.42 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Rockets | 45c | 463.86$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.62 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Rockets | 47c | 458.74$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.61 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Lakers | 65c | 452.05$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.35 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Rockets | 33c | 450$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Lakers | 66c | 445.27$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.39 | 362 | 48.1%174 W · 188 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Lakers | 66c | 439.56$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.64 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Rockets | 43c | 433.59$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.47 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc42…01b2backed Lakers | 67c | 430.23$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.55 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Lakers | 59c | 415.9$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.1 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Rockets | 36c | 382.14$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.57 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Rockets | 37c | 369.24$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.62 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Rockets | 43c | 325.6$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Rockets | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4209…7582backed Lakers | 54c | 259.13$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.2 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | -27.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd52f…88fabacked Lakers | 58c | 252.1$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.88 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Rockets | 43c | 251.65$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.95 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Rockets | 9c | 238.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Lakers | 57c | 236.15$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Lakers | 56c | 224.8$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.91 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Rockets | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 293 | 46.4%136 W · 157 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7987…884abacked Lakers | 58c | 210.09$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.24 | 258 | 50%129 W · 129 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Lakers | 57c | 204.87$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Lakers | 57c | 204.87$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Rockets | 33c | 199.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…bdc1backed Lakers | 67c | 199.96$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Lakers | 58c | 194.96$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.88 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Lakers | 56c | 194.72$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.68 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Lakers | 55c | 175.14$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.81 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Rockets | 25c | 171.89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Lakers | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 473 | 57.9%274 W · 199 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Rockets | 47c | 154.5$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.62 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked Lakers | 55c | 153.91$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.26 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb675…779fbacked Rockets | 21c | 153.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -5.5wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -63%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x46df…b057backed Lakers | 65c | 151.02$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 211 | 64.5%136 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69c4…09a3backed Lakers | 54c | 150.74$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.34 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Lakers | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 296 | 65.5%194 W · 102 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…c407backed Lakers | 57c | 146.35$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.93 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Lakers | 79c | 146.14$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Rockets | 45c | 145.36$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.41 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x165e…5ec7backed Lakers | 54c | 140.63$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Rockets | 43c | 134.76$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd518…a1b2backed Lakers | 56c | 130.39$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.37 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Rockets | 44c | 125.9$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.42 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1f…48a4backed Lakers | 56c | 120.78$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8f…6b52backed Lakers | 55c | 114.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9450…d9e6backed Rockets | 47c | 114.95$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.03 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Lakers | 57c | 103.28$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.41 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…3248backed Lakers | 66c | 100.76$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Lakers | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 221 | 70.6%156 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Rockets | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8d…6724backed Lakers | 65c | 97.9$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7492…6568backed Lakers | 56c | 97.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 319 | 55.2%176 W · 143 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Lakers | 62c | 95.59$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Lakers | 56c | 90.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.83 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…add4backed Lakers | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked Lakers | 56c | 87.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.31 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed Lakers | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Lakers | 57c | 84.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Rockets | 36c | 81.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbc…f42bbacked Lakers | 62c | 78.89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Lakers | 63c | 78.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 482 | 55%265 W · 217 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Lakers won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Lakers vs. RocketsLakers won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 205.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 207.5Over won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Luke Kennard: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Luke Kennard: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Luke Kennard: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Rockets (-9.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.