TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$285,772
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$287,932

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $285,772 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b4d…e246backed Under51c31,801$16,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,137.8329650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over49c31,504$15,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,081.8469848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under47c30,000$14,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,099.9814842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Over51c29,493$15,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,451.5420545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Under43c24,182$10,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,361.2616547.3%78 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+56.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over52c23,357$12,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,176.264948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Over53c18,336$9,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,617.859945.5%45 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under47c14,184$6,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,666.481,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Over52c13,484$7,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,472.2374748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Over53c12,147$6,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,710.2710949.5%54 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00049244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under48c7,507$3,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,631.4276249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Under10c6,565$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.1418536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over42c6,180$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,580.233,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c6,050$2,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,926.754,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under49c5,748$2,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,816.438946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,35043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over50c4,882$2,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,441.0137355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under26c4,347$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.358,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Under47c4,119$1,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,935.959646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Under49c4,100$2,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,018.3482442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Over53c3,998$2,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,879.220744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over52c3,846$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.0847856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d0…e11cbacked Under48c3,835$1,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,840.714949%24 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over51c3,443$1,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,687.121,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.969149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over2c2,850$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,79231222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Over50c2,795$1,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,397.3417055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over53c2,400$1,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.912,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x639c…31e2backed Under49c2,153$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.213540%14 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdf2…23e3backed Over45c2,130$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.813231.3%10 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+136.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Under25c2,101$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.2514953%79 W · 70 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x54a2…5dfebacked Over47c2,050$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.493438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under51c2,006$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.0114251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over51c1,744$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.471,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under51c1,718$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.930446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x073a…91e7backed Under47c1,664$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.243641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over51c1,600$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.531,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under49c1,561$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.1621943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b45…d196backed Under50c1,560$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.7312540.8%51 W · 74 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Under50c1,497$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.233342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over71c1,418$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.0314338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Under58c1,384$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80110239.2%40 W · 62 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d35…96afbacked Over50c1,358$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6793138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under47c1,303$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.2144740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x503a…8322backed Over64c1,299$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.795558.2%32 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+29%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under50c1,296$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.9670246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under48c1,211$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.2827746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x844e…4efdbacked Over10c1,109$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.925352.8%28 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+33.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over61c1,036$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.3527463.5%174 W · 100 L+34.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x62d5…8f10backed Over75c1,020$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.22552%13 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under50c1,001$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.41,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Over74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26014946.3%69 W · 80 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f0e…ce42backed Under60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over52c999.97$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.9989853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c989.62$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.812,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under50c970$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48519745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over40c963.07$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.262,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under54c937.3$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.882,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Over53c916.79$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.8917246.5%80 W · 92 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Over39c817.78$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.789950.5%50 W · 49 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under49c799.74$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.9621147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under50c737.78$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.265045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over31c724.82$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.668838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over40c698.9$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.346448.4%31 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over41c654.9$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38661638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Under47c648.41$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.7529344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over51c584.73$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.9562051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Under52c582.72$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.0132450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Over50c582$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29123251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Under19c572.19$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.3921640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbd4…5faabacked Over51c570.45$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.525044%22 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under49c538.97$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.093,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under49c521.1$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.991,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f3e…4802backed Under11c511.6$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Over58c508.63$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.7112542.4%53 W · 72 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Under54c503.61$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.9989444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Under27c499.75$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.2726336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c492.4$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.44,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16bd…ed47backed Over62c483.14$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.227652.6%40 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over50c465.6$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.815543.2%67 W · 88 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over13c434.83$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.322,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Over8c426.44$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.9418743.3%81 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under48c403.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.761,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20035849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under48c399$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.4532045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under44c387.12$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.361,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over45c384.76$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.3193148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under57c363.95$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.571,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under48c347.9$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.9787049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over48c336.66$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.0618650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Over30c319.79$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.4726450%132 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8006…94dcbacked Over31c309.23$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.372839.3%11 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+60.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under55c304.2$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.7627245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bfe…9408backed Over53c293.37$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.895637.5%21 W · 35 L-6.8wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-22.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under52c281$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.3152053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over50c274.1$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.521,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over47c244.34$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12945445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d8e…5d6abacked Under48c242.21$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.262524%6 W · 19 L-5.0wins-0.20per pick44cpaid-48.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0976…8f4ebacked Over55c233.45$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.051560%9 W · 6 L+3.7wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+52.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.