TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 207.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,574
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,316

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,574 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb652…2db4backed Over49c30,000$14,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,299.9937627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under51c8,735$4,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,455.0566250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under51c5,837$2,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,979.8564948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under51c5,716$2,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,915.0937355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed Under51c4,853$2,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,475.0336954.7%202 W · 167 L+28.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under52c3,128$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.934,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Under51c2,821$1,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,436.2116547.3%78 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+56.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Under45c2,250$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.3717553.7%94 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under51c2,240$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.131,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under20c1,944$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.751,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over47c1,889$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.182,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf28…b40ebacked Under1c1,881$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.81714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick10cpaid-59.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4321…8fdcbacked Under52c1,877$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.051250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under50c1,674$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.1514842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over66c1,483$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.28,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over1c1,470$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,450.4631222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under53c1,458$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.5940451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over50c1,428$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.9218444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over47c1,426$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.654,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51011437.7%43 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Over51c953.41$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.1428046.8%131 W · 149 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde6…764bbacked Over51c952.49$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.2144052.5%231 W · 209 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2d4…40b9backed Under52c934.75$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.582556%14 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Under28c855.22$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.8326336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Over55c809.63$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.3318743.3%81 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under43c767.58$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.8995452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb8a…45aabacked Under54c721.62$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.94862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ee…a073backed Over71c692.29$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2013661.1%22 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdf2…23e3backed Over5c660.1$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.13231.3%10 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+136.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Over15c639.06$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.0110146.5%47 W · 54 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+217.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x27ee…b517backed Over51c572.71$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.567441.9%31 W · 43 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over48c567.73$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.2238947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Under11c558.43$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4318835.1%66 W · 122 L+24.5wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+116.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over49c546.56$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.468641.9%36 W · 50 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x78bf…6df9backed Over49c534.81$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.086261.3%38 W · 24 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over29c503.76$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.6756646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce42…5cddbacked Over58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2103348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under42c482.6$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.691,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over48c461.54$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24069848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under52c388.81$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.1845146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa686…5b61backed Under52c374.62$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.222544%11 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3234…8b1abacked Under71c362.92$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.591442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over49c360.65$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.861,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over4c359.37$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34576054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Under53c350$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.537842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c9…dfeabacked Over72c320.71$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.84259.5%25 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Over51c288.11$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.5626755.1%147 W · 120 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under51c285.47$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.5950954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under25c280.67$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4578639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over47c267.69$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.871,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over48c256.47$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.781,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Under33c244$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.231238.5%120 W · 192 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under50c223.85$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.0387049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under51c213.53$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.942853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over50c210.51$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.2689048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Under35c200.2$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5540440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Over5c199.84$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.9420837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over47c197.59$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.7252861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7987…884abacked Over49c197.01$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.0625850%129 W · 129 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Over50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9714155.3%78 W · 63 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under60c182.06$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.512,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under34c152.53$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3780440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3105…2e7ebacked Over50c139.21$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.062948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under43c125.95$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.421,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Over51c112.75$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4910552.4%55 W · 50 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6158…81bcbacked Over50c107.67$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.843237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over47c103$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5918557.3%106 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb348…776fbacked Over48c100.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.482630.8%8 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick25cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86f3…685cbacked Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5112558.4%73 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5128852.1%150 W · 138 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5041050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over47c98.8$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3646959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.559650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecd5…a3a2backed Under50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.53831.6%12 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Over50c96.64$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.1325360.1%152 W · 101 L+26.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Under51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.533638.9%14 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over47c94.43$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0559255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over35c91.19$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.955,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d76…90a0backed Over47c90.58$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482365.2%15 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+33.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ab4…b569backed Over58c84.75$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.584864.6%31 W · 17 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Under50c80.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9415662.8%98 W · 58 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over24c80.16$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.052,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over45c77.47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6161638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa21b…9e94backed Over50c76.87$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0615055.3%83 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x996c…5879backed Over49c76.75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.964637%17 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51f4…3e21backed Under21c68.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.211435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e91…8bc4backed Over71c64.5$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.491070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.61,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf09d…d23fbacked Under50c59.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1810651.9%55 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over55c58.38$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2771752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0570…5200backed Over47c56.65$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.028457.1%48 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa06…74c3backed Under52c56.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.141442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-38.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7349backed Under77c54.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4521574.4%160 W · 55 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe94f…25f6backed Over36c52.9$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.663324.2%8 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d95…82e8backed Over50c52.85$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.422152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9c7…4e5bbacked Under51c51.27$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.153066.7%20 W · 10 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over26c50.84$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3933556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over49c49.44$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.227945.9%128 W · 151 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f17…b55dbacked Over76c49.28$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.833100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+33,328.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.