TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lakersof Lakers, Rockets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,090
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,564

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,090 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x32cc…68b3backed Rockets70c50,000$35,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,999.991,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lakers31c40,803$12,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,270.462,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Rockets69c30,000$20,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,699.951,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Lakers30c18,025$5,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,617.89349.5%46 W · 47 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Rockets72c9,769$7,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,079.7566250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed Lakers30c9,558$2,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,675.982466.7%16 W · 8 L+5.5wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+60.8%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Lakers26c5,056$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,741.1831644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed Lakers28c4,784$1,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,446.4936954.7%202 W · 167 L+28.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Rockets71c3,116$2,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,213.6395651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Lakers30c3,083$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,157.9930157.1%172 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Lakers32c2,540$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,732.251,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Lakers30c2,468$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,731.0850346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Lakers30c2,461$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,732.356152.5%32 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Lakers31c2,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3901,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Lakers37c1,491$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.619650.5%99 W · 97 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac03…5350backed Rockets67c1,392$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.343447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Lakers57c1,227$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.8121848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Lakers29c1,130$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.7929243.8%128 W · 164 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Rockets62c1,082$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.241,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Lakers35c1,063$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.7511440.4%46 W · 68 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Lakers30c957.76$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.4337842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Rockets71c860$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.862051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2cc…5a59backed Lakers30c800.18$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.13944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Rockets69c800$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5521,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf481…7911backed Rockets21c783.67$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.52728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-38.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Rockets70c500$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.3387049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Lakers50c487.51$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.776653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfd6d…c733backed Lakers27c363.61$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.439358.1%54 W · 39 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Rockets65c335.06$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.3350651.2%259 W · 247 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Rockets62c319.11$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.031,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1495…d3f9backed Lakers31c309.68$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.8215048%72 W · 78 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+25.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1160…e3f7backed Lakers51c285.58$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+204.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Lakers39c285.47$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.0626336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lakers40c269.4$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.761,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e1…65a4backed Rockets41c232.23$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.334755.3%26 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32d6…a8f5backed Lakers29c200$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1426946.4%32 W · 37 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Lakers29c198.32$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.8169848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Rockets71c196.52$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.531,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc987…123abacked Lakers31c177.56$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.51475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+80.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Rockets70c175$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.1527942.7%119 W · 160 L-14.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Lakers30c159.67$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.773638.9%14 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Lakers56c108.58$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3c2…5509backed Rockets35c98.74$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4618444.6%82 W · 102 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4f8…2869backed Lakers54c90.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4217459.2%103 W · 71 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x550d…f1ffbacked Lakers26c88.1$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.191947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d30…5f85backed Lakers30c84.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.916653.6%89 W · 77 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f64…ba01backed Lakers58c82.18$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1742740.3%172 W · 255 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Lakers31c80.85$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9323652.5%124 W · 112 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Lakers53c75.64$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.332654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd60f…2bdfbacked Lakers32c72.05$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.995100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+111.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Lakers51c70.82$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.716842.3%71 W · 97 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb268…759bbacked Lakers42c69.34$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.512100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+96%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x91b7…ad02backed Rockets75c65.67$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.255547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1434…d63bbacked Lakers31c60.21$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.54666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+32.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Rockets67c60.19$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.131,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Lakers19c58.53$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6979650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Lakers30c55.66$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9621849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b04…f467backed Lakers32c52.4$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.631963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9dd…565dbacked Lakers31c48.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.392100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick43cpaid+153.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Lakers46c42.07$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7216147.2%76 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Lakers31c38.57$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.611,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Rockets41c37.26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2514860.1%89 W · 59 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Lakers48c36.84$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1460049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa66e…eb36backed Lakers34c31.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.791656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked Rockets70c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2126957.2%154 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Rockets52c29.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1545542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Rockets54c28.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6655751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Lakers73c28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5678639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Lakers73c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2931238.5%120 W · 192 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Lakers73c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2980440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7349backed Lakers78c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.521574.4%160 W · 55 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Lakers73c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7540440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked Rockets56c20.86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.684928.6%14 W · 35 L-8.7wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Lakers68c20.31$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.514264.8%92 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe127…82a2backed Rockets55c19.51$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.732965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3eb8…f0b7backed Lakers79c16.77$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.521471.4%10 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick76cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Rockets74c16.76$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.453349.3%263 W · 270 L-28.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.