TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x91b7…ad02

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
337
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT19052.1%99 W · 91 L-12.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 190 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$244.12
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.9
France vs. England: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.48
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$57.02
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$9.22
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$20.36
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Norway vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Norway vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$12.7
Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+81%+$48.6
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$13.69
Showing 25 of 190 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT5547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+687.4%+$687.4
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$53.33
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$203.03
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$170.27
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+74.4%+$111.65
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.44
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$92.47
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.79
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.25
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT3938.5%15 W · 24 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padresbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$35.22
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$39.77
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationalsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Miami Marlins vs. New York Metsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$55.38
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$131.97
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16.34
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$37.72
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+104.1%+$52.04
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+37%+$36.99
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+426.3%+$213.16
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-29.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$39.38
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$300
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$200
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$500
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$500
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$221.05
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+96.1%+$96.08
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+47.4%+$50.69
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+34.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$108.62
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 4 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-55.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.56
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+126%+$580.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$44.28
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$191.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$132.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will APT (Rosé and Bruno Mars) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.