MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83395bf247a483d239f18606c0ae7c476a4b28807afaa6dd095790ac52d6a669
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Cleveland Guardians, Texas Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $871,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $906,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $871,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 416 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 387,837$182,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205,553.73 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 110,000$58,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,300 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Texas Rangers | 48c | 105,553$50,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,633.13 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 57,000$30,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,210 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5291…d4b6backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 47,500$25,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,175 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 37,731$18,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,242.96 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cleveland Guardians | 67c | 35,968$24,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,860.45 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 30,000$15,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,900 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Texas Rangers | 1c | 28,672$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.68 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 18,868$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 18,606$9,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,861.04 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Texas Rangers | 58c | 17,500$10,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,150 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 17,075$8,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,263.74 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 16,596$8,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,628.79 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 14,574$7,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,748.31 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 13,802$7,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,314.9 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Texas Rangers | 25c | 12,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 12,000$5,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,360 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 11,931$6,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,888 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Texas Rangers | 50c | 10,565$5,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,267.43 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 73c | 8,304$6,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,274.87 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…e770backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 7,100$3,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,692 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 6,947$3,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,795.71 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Texas Rangers | 52c | 6,671$3,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,468.99 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 6,527$3,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,958.65 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 6,086$3,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,225.58 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 6,052$2,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,146.99 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.99 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Texas Rangers | 0c | 5,800$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 5,450$2,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,833.76 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 5,002$3,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.52 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.99 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 4,717$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 4,444$2,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,577.52 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Texas Rangers | 52c | 4,300$2,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,235.95 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda48…5926backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 4,260$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,262.99 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Texas Rangers | 19c | 4,051$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.74 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.98 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 3,754$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,169.76 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 3,435$2,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.04 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 3,422$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 3,381$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.93 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 2,854$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.89 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 2,800$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.3 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5762…90eebacked Texas Rangers | 43c | 2,593$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.07 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Texas Rangers | 40c | 2,536$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.86 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 2,490$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.97 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Texas Rangers | 1c | 2,485$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…7dd1backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 2,485$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 2,422$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.76 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 2,400$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.12 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Texas Rangers | 1c | 2,373$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Texas Rangers | 7c | 2,240$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.48 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Texas Rangers | 58c | 2,222$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.76 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Texas Rangers | 52c | 2,080$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.34 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…6e97backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 1,807$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.42 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cleveland Guardians | 79c | 1,805$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.46 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 1,698$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…3cccbacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 1,573$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 1,566$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 1,548$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.35 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 1,408$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.15 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2542…7821backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 1,379$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…701dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 1,350$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Texas Rangers | 19c | 1,236$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x065b…3a49backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 1,201$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe3…1c0cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 1,035$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.39 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 1,016$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.48 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…e551backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 1,008$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.77 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…38e5backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 1,007$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.52 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Texas Rangers | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 899.99$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.99 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 864.5$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0f…b9d0backed Texas Rangers | 5c | 852.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.91 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 850.97$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.51 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Cleveland Guardians | 78c | 825.39$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.5 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 69c | 811.7$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.93 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 770.9$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.65 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Texas Rangers | 55c | 744.44$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.5 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked Texas Rangers | 21c | 735.54$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.79 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 704.87$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.58 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…c28bbacked Texas Rangers | 18c | 700$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 652.08$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.08 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…955abacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 644.28$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.47 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 639.98$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.79 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 634.91$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.45 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 630.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.01 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Texas Rangers | 4c | 604.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 218 | 41.3%90 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 600$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…aa8fbacked Texas Rangers | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Texas Rangers | 3c | 557.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangersthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 11.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-4.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-5.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas RangersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.