MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7a6ed712ccdd10e0ddc18e1da90f3a1ae0eabec201f0645fc9145790d12b2b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $505,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $559,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $505,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Over | 51c | 340,907$173,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173,862.56 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Under | 49c | 80,000$39,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,800 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 49c | 61,186$29,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,204.93 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Under | 49c | 60,804$29,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,010.04 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 49c | 55,555$27,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,333.05 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 37,412$19,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,379.54 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 48c | 25,136$12,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,070.74 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Under | 49c | 23,734$11,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,104.34 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 52c | 16,791$8,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,731.34 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 48c | 16,731$8,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,623.1 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 46c | 11,000$5,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,060 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 49c | 10,808$5,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,512.08 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Over | 52c | 10,500$5,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,460 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Over | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 48c | 9,089$4,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,726.47 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Under | 58c | 6,027$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,546.56 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 49c | 6,000$2,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,090 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0722…7e7fbacked Over | 52c | 5,385$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 51c | 5,140$2,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,621.65 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 52c | 4,198$2,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,182.83 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 49c | 3,764$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922.56 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Under | 49c | 3,609$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.52 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 48c | 3,473$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.9 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 49c | 3,148$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.56 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 2,893$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.2 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 49c | 2,782$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.71 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…f324backed Under | 60c | 2,442$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.53 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 50c | 2,327$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.54 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ff…473dbacked Under | 50c | 1,916$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.94 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2542…7821backed Over | 59c | 1,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0f…b9d0backed Over | 67c | 1,677$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.1 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.84 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 1,608$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.06 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Over | 46c | 1,024$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.04 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7d…26c4backed Under | 49c | 868.5$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.94 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 54c | 809.09$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.98 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 31c | 745.82$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.02 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39e9…e2dfbacked Over | 52c | 680$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.6 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 49c | 650$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.6 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 48c | 604.58$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.11 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 48c | 585.55$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.61 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 548.34$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.1 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 49c | 535.15$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.93 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Under | 49c | 525.27$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.29 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 43c | 510$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.3 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3599…5338backed Over | 52c | 432.69$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…cd84backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Over | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 44c | 318.06$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.2 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Over | 52c | 276.54$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.8 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -9.2wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 47c | 251.29$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.11 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Over | 41c | 240.85$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.69 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -16.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 48c | 240$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ad…71acbacked Over | 54c | 224.07$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -8.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 49c | 220.05$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.23 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…5672backed Over | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5660…27e6backed Over | 52c | 209$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.68 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fe…8726backed Over | 52c | 202.35$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…3e24backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…accbbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 79c | 180$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Over | 52c | 155$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ca…2d82backed Over | 52c | 150.06$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.03 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 52c | 149.08$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.52 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Over | 47c | 148.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.95 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Under | 49c | 144.41$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.65 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed Over | 28c | 139.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 138.75$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.15 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815b…a1c7backed Over | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Over | 50c | 131.6$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 77c | 129.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 321 | 66.4%213 W · 108 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a1…10dcbacked Over | 52c | 123$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 218 | 51.4%112 W · 106 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 79c | 122.29$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 26c | 115.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under | 50c | 102.56$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.28 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 45c | 97.8$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2b…e5e7backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9a…9903backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…2f81backed Over | 52c | 95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x738e…dc37backed Under | 51c | 94.53$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 52c | 93.39$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.01 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51cc…c6f8backed Over | 52c | 87.56$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Over | 51c | 85.39$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 43c | 81.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…776bbacked Over | 47c | 81.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5this page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas RangersCleveland Guardians won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 11.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-4.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-5.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas RangersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.