MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0480a1ef0399e29f7f5473342460865857d0eb12b99edebb0ffdfff4b1b369bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof San Diego Padres, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $319,242
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $304,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $319,242 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 32,121$14,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,716.58 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 27,927$15,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,355.65 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 21,277$9,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,291.61 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 21,039$9,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,361.24 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 18,000$8,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,540 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 17,818$9,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,621.77 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 16,446$7,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,880.61 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 13,547$7,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,315.5 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Washington Nationals | 21c | 11,757$2,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,304.65 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 9,300$4,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,929 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals | 24c | 7,082$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,404.31 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres | 64c | 6,981$4,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,495.47 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Diego Padres | 57c | 6,698$3,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,843.68 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 6,273$2,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,666.88 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked San Diego Padres | 1c | 6,100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 5,575$2,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010.51 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked San Diego Padres | 65c | 5,385$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked San Diego Padres | 28c | 4,794$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.68 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 4,682$2,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,481.57 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 4,630$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 4,080$2,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.01 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…847dbacked Washington Nationals | 33c | 4,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,680.01 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Washington Nationals | 59c | 3,731$2,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.55 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ee…89a4backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 3,696$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 3,537$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.98 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 3,500$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.98 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 3,016$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.56 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed San Diego Padres | 63c | 3,010$1,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895.11 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Washington Nationals | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 2,923$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.19 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa252…dbf4backed San Diego Padres | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.98 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed San Diego Padres | 7c | 1,638$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.58 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 1,621$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.5 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 1,600$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +16.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked San Diego Padres | 34c | 1,595$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.28 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 1,556$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Washington Nationals | 46c | 1,529$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.61 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 1,499$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.5 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Washington Nationals | 46c | 1,474$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.86 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed San Diego Padres | 22c | 1,473$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.03 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 1,433$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.07 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 1,314$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.05 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 1,273$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.69 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked San Diego Padres | 67c | 1,251$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.24 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 1,210$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.51 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…0d2bbacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 1,180$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.23 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 1,152$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.82 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 1,143$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.31 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50bd…bf03backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 1,089$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.44 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Washington Nationals | 32c | 1,071$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.04 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Washington Nationals | 46c | 1,023$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.37 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…fe31backed San Diego Padres | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed San Diego Padres | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.99 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed San Diego Padres | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6862…8c75backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 830$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.2 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed San Diego Padres | 3c | 762.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Washington Nationals | 64c | 751$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.36 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Washington Nationals | 68c | 728.28$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.05 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Washington Nationals | 30c | 727.39$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.3 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4c…fc89backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 722.22$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 298 | 43.6%130 W · 168 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb656…42e6backed San Diego Padres | 9c | 666.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf35a…ce87backed Washington Nationals | 16c | 593.75$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.75 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86aa…0d32backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 570.37$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked San Diego Padres | 53c | 520$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.6 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 503.64$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.66 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Washington Nationals | 46c | 494.99$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.3 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked San Diego Padres | 58c | 490.95$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.96 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Washington Nationals | 67c | 482.31$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.29 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed San Diego Padres | 34c | 480.75$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.55 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed San Diego Padres | 17c | 476.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Washington Nationals | 46c | 470.74$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.2 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 466.19$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.84 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 458.68$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.39 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 443$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.22 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Washington Nationals | 19c | 435$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.64 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d1…8d0ebacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Washington Nationals | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 399.98$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…ce27backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 391.59$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.46 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked San Diego Padres | 19c | 390.57$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.94 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 383.71$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.88 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 380$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.2 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked San Diego Padres | 43c | 376.33$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.91 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 369.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 337.95$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.49 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 5.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-4.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Washington Nationals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Washington NationalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.