MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c8fdeda1a299a5eb24cbf2bb58b9980d8430a6988640f68d39b142175da9619
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $219,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $220,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $219,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b4e…0232backed Under | 49c | 167,809$82,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,226.47 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Over | 51c | 108,942$55,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,394.36 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Over | 51c | 90,780$46,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,482.43 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 49c | 15,825$7,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,754.25 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 9,584$4,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,675.51 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 49c | 5,558$2,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,724.14 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 49c | 2,160$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.99 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 50c | 2,005$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.45 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 66c | 1,622$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.18 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 1,449$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.1 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 1,411$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.9 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Over | 54c | 1,200$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.32 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 63c | 1,106$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.61 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 23c | 1,035$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.3 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 49c | 900.75$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.42 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 50c | 601.4$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.75 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.02 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Over | 51c | 544.06$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.32 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 47c | 455.93$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.48 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Under | 49c | 401$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.49 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 108 | 5.6%6 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +339.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 49c | 361.93$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.4 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 45c | 218.89$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.12 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 207.18$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.05 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Over | 56c | 205$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.85 | 268 | 60.4%162 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c5…5a2fbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed Under | 50c | 203.04$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.52 | 208 | 48.6%101 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 52c | 195$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…1365backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 151 | 59.6%90 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Under | 50c | 169.78$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.89 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 77c | 164$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 321 | 66.4%213 W · 108 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 51c | 160$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 44c | 146.07$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.8 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 44c | 146.07$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.8 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 53c | 128$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…5934backed Under | 70c | 104.4$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.08 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -15.4wins | -0.25per pick | 73cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Under | 70c | 104.39$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.08 | 75 | 69.3%52 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976f…8a71backed Under | 50c | 103.2$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under | 51c | 99.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 478 | 49%234 W · 244 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…4fb1backed Over | 52c | 96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +14.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 34c | 95.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 51c | 81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…71cebacked Under | 49c | 74.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 49c | 72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02e0…3741backed Over | 51c | 58.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 49c | 56.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe851…9471backed Under | 50c | 55.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe604…dc02backed Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked Under | 58c | 45.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -7.8wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…51eebacked Under | 65c | 41.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -3.4wins | -0.37per pick | 71cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…1619backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +513.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Under | 49c | 40.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 50c | 38.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 37c | 35.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Under | 59c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 430 | 43%185 W · 245 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…0981backed Over | 52c | 31.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacee…afddbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 52c | 29.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 43c | 29.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 54c | 24.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 51c | 24.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 50c | 22.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 50c | 21.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Over | 50c | 20.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8263…e0f1backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 52c | 19.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5this page
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington NationalsWashington Nationals won
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 5.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-4.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Washington Nationals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Washington NationalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.