TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,312,070
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,587,811

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,312,070 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 9,935 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd1c5…cbd0backed No43c1,921,573$828,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092,675.482548%12 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e25…d49ebacked No43c1,326,289$568,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757,956.213360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes36c1,211,051$437,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437,198.568,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6a6…9458backed No43c1,081,408$468,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613,368.024753.2%25 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b4e…0232backed No42c787,161$333,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453,835.253354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes57c637,225$361,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361,672.770244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked Yes57c581,827$330,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330,186.7715456.5%87 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50f0…5355backed No43c434,998$188,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246,861.33844.7%17 W · 21 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes54c424,200$229,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229,662.515322.6%12 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-51.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed No43c423,836$182,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241,775.547346.6%34 W · 39 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes57c408,069$231,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231,591.7617452.3%91 W · 83 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No39c386,472$152,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233,833.071,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd604…bc8abacked Yes57c352,423$200,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200,0001533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-46.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x620d…c67fbacked Yes57c350,877$200,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200,0001136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7ac…f764backed Yes57c334,113$190,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190,444.596543.1%28 W · 37 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes58c287,773$165,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165,623.11,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed No43c284,906$123,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161,683.9911642.2%49 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes42c203,136$85,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85,462.9565835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No51c193,158$98,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94,462.3615844.3%70 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd688…37b5backed Yes0c188,028$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.07425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-41.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f15…a16dbacked Yes0c184,800$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed No42c174,998$73,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101,498.595451.9%28 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No51c171,997$87,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84,459.9677152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ec…21a0backed Yes57c170,000$97,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97,3254445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes31c168,552$52,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,307.5579231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ee8…89debacked No43c166,189$70,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95,558.855942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No44c162,908$71,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91,625.156541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc430…1ebfbacked No43c140,000$60,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79,799.898932.6%29 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes56c132,681$74,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,887.692,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f4b…0b44backed Yes0c124,356$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.517432.2%56 W · 118 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5f6…aba9backed Yes58c120,690$70,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,0002626.9%7 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-51.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa62…eb28backed Yes68c117,124$79,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,178.31145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ed…9f79backed No43c115,607$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,606.946939.1%27 W · 42 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes55c113,965$63,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,240.3429916.7%50 W · 249 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d20…a165backed No20c108,124$22,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85,970.532661.5%16 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+37.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x393f…bb0bbacked Yes0c108,020$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.05812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-76.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No58c104,875$61,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,856.162,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed Yes57c100,628$57,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,384.0917733.9%60 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed No43c100,000$43,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,75017840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No39c100,000$38,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,499.9727039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes57c100,000$56,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,624.9438734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed No44c100,000$43,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,249.7722348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed No43c98,331$42,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,048.393534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid+2.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Yes55c95,608$52,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,820.7614343.4%62 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Yes47c94,602$44,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,441.9637223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x408f…b2f4backed Yes54c90,270$49,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,0004151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x95e0…b73cbacked Yes57c89,670$51,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,560.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes48c86,040$41,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,11132429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fe2…56e9backed Yes58c85,786$49,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,715.431040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99c4…18e7backed No49c82,854$40,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,297.1313037.7%49 W · 81 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-41.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd44f…7842backed No42c82,815$34,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,032.87850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No37c81,717$30,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,339.3236939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fcf…e455backed No47c81,060$37,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,176.3814544.8%65 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+57.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7730…3e8cbacked Yes0c78,256$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.552030%6 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick19cpaid+69.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked No41c75,885$31,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,782.7423540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa61e…0abdbacked No43c75,000$32,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,9754252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked Yes57c71,703$40,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,904.4413959.7%83 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35f0…02efbacked Yes0c68,416$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No39c63,408$24,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,499.773,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd11f…70f4backed Yes57c63,061$35,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,944.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06d0…705cbacked Yes0c60,240$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7124…f0b5backed Yes57c60,124$34,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,270.442835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Yes50c58,559$29,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,10025336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed No42c57,749$24,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,349.746953.6%37 W · 32 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95f7…5541backed Yes35c52,839$18,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,266.9710544.8%47 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Yes57c52,632$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,00012254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ad7…ae48backed Yes57c50,000$28,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,3754355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No42c46,134$19,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,731.8429952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes32c44,586$14,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,158.2975729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a87…3345backed Yes1c43,742$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick26cpaid-15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a59…9a2fbacked Yes58c42,558$24,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,479.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No43c42,166$18,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,081.943,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed No43c41,999$17,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,139.2327345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51ea…150fbacked Yes62c41,766$25,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,694.6919332.1%62 W · 131 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf271…acf2backed Yes57c41,742$24,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,0008727.6%24 W · 63 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes56c41,255$23,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,17036247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee4b…c2e4backed Yes58c41,240$23,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,799.286750.7%34 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x86f2…640ebacked Yes0c40,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed Yes57c40,000$22,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,70014732%47 W · 100 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Yes57c40,000$22,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,70013543%58 W · 77 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x705d…0a1ebacked Yes57c40,000$22,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,8001154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd133…ef27backed Yes16c39,728$6,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,342.8213842.8%59 W · 79 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked No46c38,451$17,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,663.820839.4%82 W · 126 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb24c…c906backed Yes1c38,096$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-45.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No69c37,999$26,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,884.9214542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed No22c37,597$8,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,419.2856410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6046…87f8backed No44c37,527$16,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,106.072133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa625…0b0dbacked Yes1c37,424$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa014…bd1abacked Yes58c37,259$21,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,610.11250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb201…c344backed Yes1c36,028$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.36922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-50.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes56c35,900$20,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,193.7513725.5%35 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No43c35,746$15,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,397.213,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b43…c5cbbacked Yes57c35,360$20,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,063.034348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e3a…5f61backed Yes58c35,239$20,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,418.931560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2600…ea13backed Yes57c35,004$19,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,952.141442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No42c34,799$14,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,183.716835.1%59 W · 109 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Yes57c34,783$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00016947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…5e86backed No24c33,750$8,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,664.7211642.2%49 W · 67 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd31…a7fcbacked Yes0c33,460$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd471…edf8backed No42c32,708$13,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,888.876645.5%30 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.