Fifa International · resolved market
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95f726bbb693b945f94473908298b2389989550b08a7bfd90f97ce7ba62cb719
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,312,070
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,587,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,312,070 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 9,935 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1c5…cbd0backed No | 43c | 1,921,573$828,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092,675.48 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e25…d49ebacked No | 43c | 1,326,289$568,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757,956.21 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 36c | 1,211,051$437,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437,198.56 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a6…9458backed No | 43c | 1,081,408$468,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613,368.02 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4e…0232backed No | 42c | 787,161$333,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453,835.25 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 57c | 637,225$361,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361,672.7 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e3bcbacked Yes | 57c | 581,827$330,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330,186.77 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f0…5355backed No | 43c | 434,998$188,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246,861.3 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 54c | 424,200$229,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229,662.51 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed No | 43c | 423,836$182,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241,775.54 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes | 57c | 408,069$231,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231,591.76 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 39c | 386,472$152,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233,833.07 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…bc8abacked Yes | 57c | 352,423$200,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200,000 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x620d…c67fbacked Yes | 57c | 350,877$200,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200,000 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ac…f764backed Yes | 57c | 334,113$190,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190,444.59 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 58c | 287,773$165,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165,623.1 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed No | 43c | 284,906$123,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161,683.99 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 42c | 203,136$85,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,462.95 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 51c | 193,158$98,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94,462.36 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd688…37b5backed Yes | 0c | 188,028$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…a16dbacked Yes | 0c | 184,800$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…5223backed No | 42c | 174,998$73,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101,498.59 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 51c | 171,997$87,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84,459.96 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ec…21a0backed Yes | 57c | 170,000$97,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,325 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 31c | 168,552$52,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,307.55 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee8…89debacked No | 43c | 166,189$70,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,558.85 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 44c | 162,908$71,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91,625.1 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc430…1ebfbacked No | 43c | 140,000$60,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,799.89 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 56c | 132,681$74,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,887.69 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…0b44backed Yes | 0c | 124,356$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.5 | 174 | 32.2%56 W · 118 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f6…aba9backed Yes | 58c | 120,690$70,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,000 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa62…eb28backed Yes | 68c | 117,124$79,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,178.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed No | 43c | 115,607$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,606.94 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 55c | 113,965$63,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,240.34 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed No | 20c | 108,124$22,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,970.53 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x393f…bb0bbacked Yes | 0c | 108,020$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.05 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 58c | 104,875$61,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,856.16 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b8…c368backed Yes | 57c | 100,628$57,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,384.09 | 177 | 33.9%60 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed No | 43c | 100,000$43,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,750 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 39c | 100,000$38,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,499.97 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 57c | 100,000$56,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,624.94 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed No | 44c | 100,000$43,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,249.77 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed No | 43c | 98,331$42,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,048.39 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d06…7910backed Yes | 55c | 95,608$52,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,820.76 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Yes | 47c | 94,602$44,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,441.96 | 372 | 23.4%87 W · 285 L | -25.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x408f…b2f4backed Yes | 54c | 90,270$49,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,000 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e0…b73cbacked Yes | 57c | 89,670$51,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,560.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 48c | 86,040$41,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,111 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe2…56e9backed Yes | 58c | 85,786$49,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,715.43 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…18e7backed No | 49c | 82,854$40,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,297.13 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd44f…7842backed No | 42c | 82,815$34,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,032.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 37c | 81,717$30,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,339.32 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcf…e455backed No | 47c | 81,060$37,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,176.38 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7730…3e8cbacked Yes | 0c | 78,256$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.55 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 19cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked No | 41c | 75,885$31,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,782.74 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked No | 43c | 75,000$32,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,975 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…e80abacked Yes | 57c | 71,703$40,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,904.44 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…02efbacked Yes | 0c | 68,416$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 39c | 63,408$24,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,499.77 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd11f…70f4backed Yes | 57c | 63,061$35,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,944.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…705cbacked Yes | 0c | 60,240$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7124…f0b5backed Yes | 57c | 60,124$34,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,270.44 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…e4e0backed Yes | 50c | 58,559$29,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,100 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed No | 42c | 57,749$24,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,349.74 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f7…5541backed Yes | 35c | 52,839$18,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,266.97 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Yes | 57c | 52,632$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad7…ae48backed Yes | 57c | 50,000$28,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,375 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 42c | 46,134$19,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,731.84 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 32c | 44,586$14,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,158.29 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a87…3345backed Yes | 1c | 43,742$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a59…9a2fbacked Yes | 58c | 42,558$24,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,479.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 43c | 42,166$18,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,081.94 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…6aa1backed No | 43c | 41,999$17,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,139.23 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ea…150fbacked Yes | 62c | 41,766$25,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,694.69 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf271…acf2backed Yes | 57c | 41,742$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,000 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 56c | 41,255$23,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,170 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…c2e4backed Yes | 58c | 41,240$23,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,799.28 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f2…640ebacked Yes | 0c | 40,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 57c | 40,000$22,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,700 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Yes | 57c | 40,000$22,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,700 | 135 | 43%58 W · 77 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…0a1ebacked Yes | 57c | 40,000$22,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,800 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd133…ef27backed Yes | 16c | 39,728$6,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,342.82 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…a37fbacked No | 46c | 38,451$17,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,663.8 | 208 | 39.4%82 W · 126 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb24c…c906backed Yes | 1c | 38,096$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 69c | 37,999$26,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,884.92 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed No | 22c | 37,597$8,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,419.28 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6046…87f8backed No | 44c | 37,527$16,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,106.07 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa625…0b0dbacked Yes | 1c | 37,424$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa014…bd1abacked Yes | 58c | 37,259$21,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,610.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb201…c344backed Yes | 1c | 36,028$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.36 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes | 56c | 35,900$20,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,193.75 | 137 | 25.5%35 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 43c | 35,746$15,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,397.21 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b43…c5cbbacked Yes | 57c | 35,360$20,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,063.03 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3a…5f61backed Yes | 58c | 35,239$20,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,418.93 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2600…ea13backed Yes | 57c | 35,004$19,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,952.14 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 42c | 34,799$14,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,183.7 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc289…ab37backed Yes | 57c | 34,783$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…5e86backed No | 24c | 33,750$8,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,664.72 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd31…a7fcbacked Yes | 0c | 33,460$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd471…edf8backed No | 42c | 32,708$13,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,888.87 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?this page
- Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.