TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0a87…3345

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Valorant, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 54 out of 100; worst UFC at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+154.1%+$90.11
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$783Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$247.25
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$871Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$345.77
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$118.92
Counter-Strike: Crashers vs Alzon (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stagebacked Alzon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+183.9%+$91.94
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.6
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$92.86
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.21
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$42.16
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.37
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$31.49
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.03
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$36.9
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.59
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$46.06
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Playoffsbacked UNiTY esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$21.54
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$13.25
All 23 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+41.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$125.99
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.92
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$141.82
LoL: Estral Esports vs INTZ e-Sports (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked INTZ e-Sports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+194.8%+$194.55
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels (BO5) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+297.4%+$89.23
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+185.7%+$23.21
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick26cpaid-15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+42%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+5.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$14.79
Nets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+35.1%+$6.24
All 4 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$683Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$683
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.