TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZ NXTof MOUZ NXT, UNiTY esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,884

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,884 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked UNiTY esports9c2,825$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.863,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed MOUZ NXT58c2,456$1,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.9887244.8%391 W · 481 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed MOUZ NXT56c2,428$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.0939239.8%156 W · 236 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed UNiTY esports43c2,094$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.5910952.3%57 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce8b…6bc7backed MOUZ NXT78c1,984$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.594158.5%24 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked UNiTY esports44c1,868$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.9420539.5%81 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked UNiTY esports41c1,711$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.315,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed UNiTY esports43c1,600$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.991,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed UNiTY esports17c1,595$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.896,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked UNiTY esports19c1,593$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.0519030.5%58 W · 132 L-12.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c90…cd7bbacked UNiTY esports4c1,512$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7314728.6%42 W · 105 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa446…d9c6backed UNiTY esports43c1,370$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.272075%15 W · 5 L+3.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+38%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed MOUZ NXT58c1,295$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.0256732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed UNiTY esports43c1,244$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53128549.5%141 W · 144 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked UNiTY esports42c1,221$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.5534943%150 W · 199 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6368…6dc8backed MOUZ NXT76c1,124$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.131485.7%12 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick70cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked MOUZ NXT57c1,030$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.091,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed MOUZ NXT56c1,001$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.3916653%88 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed MOUZ NXT57c875.81$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.6522342.2%94 W · 129 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked UNiTY esports25c825$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.153,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed UNiTY esports42c790.6$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.455,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MOUZ NXT58c777.23$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.321,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ NXT74c598.08$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.062,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked MOUZ NXT59c541$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.5154346.2%251 W · 292 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked MOUZ NXT57c530.95$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.9360147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed MOUZ NXT62c515.69$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.8938037.4%142 W · 238 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked MOUZ NXT59c501$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.1649745.9%228 W · 269 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed UNiTY esports37c485$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.7316450.6%83 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed UNiTY esports45c444.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016947.9%81 W · 88 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed MOUZ NXT57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17232845.1%148 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed UNiTY esports19c394.31$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5128434.9%99 W · 185 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed MOUZ NXT60c374$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.2146344.5%206 W · 257 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed UNiTY esports42c372.51$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.144,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe239…14eabacked UNiTY esports41c368$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.882157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+26.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed UNiTY esports41c368$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.883754.1%20 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed UNiTY esports41c368$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.882766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.7wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+40.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed MOUZ NXT57c366.6$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.7522448.7%109 W · 115 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked UNiTY esports31c342.71$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.477,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed MOUZ NXT59c341$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.9629244.5%130 W · 162 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed MOUZ NXT61c311$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.9210956.9%62 W · 47 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed UNiTY esports21c284.17$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.775,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked UNiTY esports41c250$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.543640.6%177 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed UNiTY esports20c247.03$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.557034.3%24 W · 46 L-0.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa11d…72a8backed UNiTY esports41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010442.3%44 W · 60 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed MOUZ NXT59c240$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9227443.1%118 W · 156 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked MOUZ NXT59c234$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.7548948.7%238 W · 251 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed UNiTY esports43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018454.3%100 W · 84 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+23.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0628…de3cbacked MOUZ NXT65c220$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9700…df3cbacked UNiTY esports16c212.56$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.161656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcf2…1e5bbacked MOUZ NXT66c187.19$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.423858%138 W · 100 L+13.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked UNiTY esports43c185.16$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.621,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed MOUZ NXT58c171.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.8225352.2%132 W · 121 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc995…2224backed UNiTY esports41c164.84$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678644.2%38 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked MOUZ NXT65c154.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0658149.2%286 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed UNiTY esports33c151.83$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.72,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked UNiTY esports23c146.07$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.925,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb622…54e0backed UNiTY esports8c128.65$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3648…fc70backed UNiTY esports23c128.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4f8…88f6backed MOUZ NXT76c124.2$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.21060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a87…3345backed UNiTY esports27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed UNiTY esports24c108.71$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5752755.8%294 W · 233 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed UNiTY esports22c106.98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.031,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb87…4611backed MOUZ NXT58c106.9$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.912158.7%71 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed UNiTY esports35c102.97$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3618837.2%70 W · 118 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed UNiTY esports43c102.16$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9346243.3%200 W · 262 L+1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed UNiTY esports31c100.68$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed UNiTY esports44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.539237.2%146 W · 246 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked UNiTY esports43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4370038.9%272 W · 428 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8441…7925backed UNiTY esports26c83.07$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.749940.4%40 W · 59 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-30.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x912e…0eaebacked UNiTY esports27c83$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4136434.1%124 W · 240 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…c7b2backed UNiTY esports42c79.46$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.376147.5%29 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfa0…7191backed MOUZ NXT57c73.12$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc255…0470backed MOUZ NXT61c70.6$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5314863.5%94 W · 54 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked MOUZ NXT64c70$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.557142.3%30 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc8f…a7bbbacked UNiTY esports21c69.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.643265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x77d8…849abacked MOUZ NXT60c67.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1811100%11 W · 0 L+4.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.7%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed UNiTY esports30c64.43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.012,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed MOUZ NXT79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2926075%195 W · 65 L+23.6wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+11.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x81b0…6592backed UNiTY esports40c60.6$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.24540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-32.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed UNiTY esports43c60.58$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.057724.7%19 W · 58 L-7.5wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-31.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7fe0…947cbacked MOUZ NXT59c60.57$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.03944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid+20%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa596…ce69backed UNiTY esports22c59.76$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.42633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-53.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc2f…a15fbacked MOUZ NXT58c58.96$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.919055.8%106 W · 84 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed UNiTY esports45c57$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6540247.8%192 W · 210 L+11.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6068…1dacbacked UNiTY esports23c54.4$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.34825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-68.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x95c8…3469backed MOUZ NXT75c53.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.334454.5%24 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff56…ef9fbacked UNiTY esports20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104843.8%21 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93cf…29d1backed UNiTY esports49c49.93$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.685754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x893a…37debacked MOUZ NXT56c46.02$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.251471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked UNiTY esports25c43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8731440.1%126 W · 188 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe00d…4251backed MOUZ NXT74c40.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.576157.4%35 W · 26 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x97c7…37adbacked UNiTY esports43c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0966753.1%354 W · 313 L+1.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed MOUZ NXT71c39.27$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3912355.3%68 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8037…3f3bbacked UNiTY esports32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b93…1290backed MOUZ NXT56c30.36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.362556%14 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ebb…1e6bbacked MOUZ NXT59c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.34355.8%24 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf58…711fbacked MOUZ NXT57c29.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.787647.4%36 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed UNiTY esports44c29.08$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.752,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7685…482cbacked MOUZ NXT79c28.19$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.0219659.7%117 W · 79 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b82…b3b2backed MOUZ NXT79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.32988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick60cpaid+53.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.