TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x93cf…29d1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
104
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst Middle East at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT5754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$35.78
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$48.76
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffsbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$70.61
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.03
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.39
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.18
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.32
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.46
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$40.79
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$29.78
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$43.85
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$29.31
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$29.11
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.51
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$42.29
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.19
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$92.61
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT3154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Argentina vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.07
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$77.07
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.1
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.9
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9.86
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+57%+$19
Will France be the highest-scoring team in Group I during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$15.24
Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$92.12
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.7
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.97
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$31.3
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.19
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$30.56
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$19.09
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.54
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.67
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.17
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$32.87
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.68
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.44
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$19.69
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16.47
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$24.52
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Valorant: DRX vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20.73
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+69.5%+$18.91
All 10 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Open Qualifier 1 Playoffsbacked Level UP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$49.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.