TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Harry Kane: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$228,442
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$282,755

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $228,442 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 306 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf438…9559backed No56c46,998$26,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,11914449.3%71 W · 73 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No55c22,000$12,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,039.7419252.1%100 W · 92 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Yes44c21,287$9,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,920.88047.5%38 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Yes45c21,000$9,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,549.9812254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No55c17,350$9,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,628.0446464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked No56c17,297$9,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,602.0815950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60c9…9e8abacked Yes45c10,950$4,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,028.413135.5%11 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Yes44c10,750$4,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,02010734.6%37 W · 70 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes44c9,449$4,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,294.462,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No56c8,820$4,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,925.9374447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Yes44c5,650$2,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,163.9536250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No54c5,400$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,939.8332765.7%215 W · 112 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe59a…aaafbacked Yes44c4,545$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,545.453056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4362…9e47backed Yes44c4,439$1,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,485.647431.1%23 W · 51 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed No55c4,182$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3006654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c09…3fd2backed Yes46c4,053$1,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,188.892737%10 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No55c3,728$2,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,057.712,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5901…63a2backed Yes45c3,694$1,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,031.927538.7%29 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes44c3,255$1,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,822.6217544%77 W · 98 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes44c3,182$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,781.829823.5%23 W · 75 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No56c3,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,68037959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No55c3,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65029646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b4d…44e5backed No1c2,807$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.073119.4%6 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc087…dbbabacked Yes45c2,224$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.137541.3%31 W · 44 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+46.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes46c2,174$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.916526.2%17 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6340…e272backed No54c2,130$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.419161.5%56 W · 35 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4d29…0206backed Yes46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0802572%18 W · 7 L+4.5wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+67.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.9940343.7%176 W · 227 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.9929250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Yes46c1,800$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.0410051%51 W · 49 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed No1c1,789$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5742336.9%156 W · 267 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes46c1,740$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.5830431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3705…9677backed Yes44c1,651$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.525223.1%12 W · 40 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1695…324cbacked Yes44c1,518$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.0910931.2%34 W · 75 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8473…8f23backed Yes45c1,424$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.9610937.6%41 W · 68 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x886f…5e20backed Yes45c1,253$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.026033.3%20 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Yes44c1,250$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70017944.1%79 W · 100 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x530c…89f1backed Yes44c1,136$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.366538.5%25 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.1126438.6%102 W · 162 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeef3…2f9bbacked Yes45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.111030%3 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-27.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b29…556ebacked Yes46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.965543.6%24 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c27…f2aabacked No56c1,071$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60014637.7%55 W · 91 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Yes45c1,017$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.3516050.6%81 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Yes44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56010335%36 W · 67 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb56d…d621backed Yes45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5503966.7%26 W · 13 L+5.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+24.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No56c999.94$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.9614860.1%89 W · 59 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No55c999.92$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.961,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No51c999.92$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.9634357.7%198 W · 145 L+26.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x94f1…55e5backed No56c704.7$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.634837.5%18 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb417…6d8fbacked Yes44c681.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.827342.5%31 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2c1…a09ebacked Yes45c666.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.677444.6%33 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed No55c633.78$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.8933350.5%168 W · 165 L+24.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes44c633.5$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.761,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed No58c612.67$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.3516633.7%56 W · 110 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes47c608.58$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.478,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e74…ec81backed Yes45c600$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33028626.9%77 W · 209 L-1.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Yes45c555.56$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.5637223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Yes44c550$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3085042%21 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed Yes45c532.78$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.03633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28012535.2%44 W · 81 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd6f…1765backed Yes45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27511946.2%55 W · 64 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked No56c499.98$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.992835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-32.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2145…5277backed Yes42c490.02$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.21366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+48.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked No56c479.86$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.8117535.4%62 W · 113 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+46.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Yes44c462.15$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.9969534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Yes44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.5510160.4%61 W · 40 L+11.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Yes45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.443135.5%11 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Yes45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.4414637.7%55 W · 91 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Yes45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.4412429%36 W · 88 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb4…481dbacked Yes45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.443534.3%12 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba0…1803backed Yes46c411.22$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.062458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c92…9627backed Yes44c407.47$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.4710527.6%29 W · 76 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Yes46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2168348.2%40 W · 43 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No57c399.84$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.9128873.3%211 W · 77 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Yes44c395.45$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.4515140.4%61 W · 90 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1060…d28bbacked No51c394.3$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003135.5%11 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick29cpaid-19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c04…03febacked Yes45c360$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1985028%14 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcab9…baf6backed No35c354.59$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.216855.9%38 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked No56c350$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1961,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No57c344.44$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.335745.6%26 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x354b…4744backed Yes45c333.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.3311443.9%50 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcb2…02b0backed Yes45c333.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.3336534.2%125 W · 240 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes45c333.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.3314852.7%78 W · 70 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes45c311.11$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.1118742.8%80 W · 107 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe346…9040backed Yes44c307.84$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.8410525.7%27 W · 78 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9236…db6dbacked Yes48c301.4$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.4616341.1%67 W · 96 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x43dc…37f1backed Yes45c282.22$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.223751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x707b…5c3abacked Yes69c277.26$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.96540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-44.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67a8…d351backed Yes44c271.54$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.543946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Yes45c266.67$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.674334.9%15 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd169…8ff6backed Yes49c255.1$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.117241.3%71 W · 101 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e10…1186backed Yes44c250$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1406358.7%37 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes45c244.44$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.4430321.5%65 W · 238 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba34…32b8backed Yes45c244.44$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.4426151.7%135 W · 126 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Yes43c238.59$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.486762.7%42 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0931…e78ebacked Yes45c237.78$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.7810050%50 W · 50 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc399…53abbacked Yes47c237.19$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.7118431.5%58 W · 126 L-19.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-36.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x95a6…b568backed Yes46c233.93$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.325937.3%22 W · 37 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd50b…2f40backed Yes45c233.47$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.415461.1%33 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb63…aa62backed Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.276844.1%30 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.