Fifa International · resolved market
Bukayo Saka: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa32133c583020d07c123181ea736b64b364d3c8ba355b213a0cad851af104064
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,549
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,549 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc087…dbbabacked Yes | 25c | 4,079$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 75c | 2,290$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.5 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 76c | 1,021$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 76c | 512.5$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked No | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde41…58bdbacked No | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 77c | 426.5$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.21 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 80c | 393.8$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.76 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…93c8backed Yes | 17c | 389.25$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Yes | 19c | 281.19$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 17c | 280.84$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 23c | 223.05$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Yes | 15c | 200.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 265 | 37.7%100 W · 165 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5427…bb86backed Yes | 11c | 160$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0326…3daebacked Yes | 31c | 114.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 190 | 31.6%60 W · 130 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…9e5fbacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 62 | 69.4%43 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 77c | 99.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…2588backed Yes | 21c | 96.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2823…b7dabacked Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdc…efadbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5daa…cd22backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bd…b053backed No | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ca…a1b4backed Yes | 48c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576a…8677backed No | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x726a…196bbacked No | 54c | 20.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bukayo Saka: 1+ goalsthis page
- Andrej Kramarić: 1+ goalsNo won
- Andrej Kramarić: 2+ shotsNo won
- Ante Budimir: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ante Budimir: 2+ shotsNo won
- Ante Budimir: 3+ goalsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 1+ assistsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 1+ goalsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 3+ goalsNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 3+ goalsNo won
- Declan Rice: 1+ assistsYes won
- Declan Rice: 1+ goalsNo won
- Declan Rice: 2+ shotsNo won
- Declan Rice: 3+ goals + assistsNo won
- Eberechi Eze: 3+ goalsNo won
- Elliot Anderson: 1+ assistsYes won
- Harry Kane: 1+ assistsNo won
- Harry Kane: 1+ goalsYes won
- Harry Kane: 2+ goalsYes won
- Harry Kane: 3+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 3+ shotsYes won
- Harry Kane: 4+ shotsYes won
- Harry Kane: 5+ shotsYes won
- Igor Matanović: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ivan Perišić: 1+ assistsYes won
- Ivan Perišić: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ivan Perišić: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ivan Toney: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ivan Toney: 1+ shotsNo won
- John Stones: 1+ shotsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ assistsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsYes won
- Jude Bellingham: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 2+ shotsYes won
- Luka Modrić: 1+ assistsNo won
- Luka Modrić: 2+ shotsNo won
- Marco Pašalić: 1+ goalsNo won
- Marcus Rashford: 1+ goalsYes won
- Marcus Rashford: 1+ shotsYes won
- Marcus Rashford: 2+ shotsNo won
- Martin Baturina: 1+ goalsYes won
- Morgan Rogers: 1+ goalsNo won
- Nico O’Reilly: 1+ shotsYes won
- Nikola Vlašić: 1+ goalsNo won
- Noni Madueke: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ollie Watkins: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ollie Watkins: 1+ shotsNo won
- Petar Musa: 1+ goalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.