Fifa International · resolved market
Harry Kane: 3+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2aacd2de063dad1a8be92e3bb8441bc66e55554664b41ef53e3ab334a704da9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c09…3fd2backed Yes | 31c | 2,581$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a3…223ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,274$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 69c | 2,264$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.06 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 69c | 1,614$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.48 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 67c | 1,593$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.99 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…ab05backed Yes | 5c | 1,029$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed No | 69c | 683.23$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.48 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4a…044ebacked Yes | 30c | 682.35$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.95 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a68…ad4cbacked Yes | 24c | 643.44$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.11 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…5e20backed Yes | 31c | 630.23$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Yes | 4c | 600$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 152 | 25.7%39 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…593dbacked Yes | 9c | 567.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 123 | 29.3%36 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f2…9d8abacked Yes | 31c | 522.56$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…9294backed Yes | 4c | 518.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 494 | 26.7%132 W · 362 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…7bfebacked Yes | 34c | 503.99$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.33 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | -6.3wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -58%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +11.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…32b8backed Yes | 31c | 482.32$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 261 | 51.7%135 W · 126 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 36c | 472.33$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 286 | 26.9%77 W · 209 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc48…e792backed Yes | 5c | 368.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 69c | 359.97$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.51 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1695…324cbacked Yes | 27c | 350$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ee…29d9backed Yes | 5c | 331.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…db6dbacked Yes | 31c | 325.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…4f3ebacked Yes | 31c | 311.74$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 31c | 241.16$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 303 | 21.5%65 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 67c | 215.35$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.42 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed No | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3a…55babacked Yes | 26c | 198.83$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 150 | 44%66 W · 84 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…b978backed Yes | 8c | 187.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 8.3%4 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9726…349fbacked Yes | 31c | 163.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb4…481dbacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48a6…42debacked Yes | 24c | 146.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4b…c81ebacked Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0326…3daebacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 190 | 31.6%60 W · 130 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc932…289bbacked Yes | 43c | 115.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…4934backed Yes | 22c | 113.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7e…7181backed Yes | 31c | 113.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0091…3223backed Yes | 17c | 109.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f3…975cbacked No | 64c | 104.07$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f48…0e01backed Yes | 31c | 103.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 151 | 30.5%46 W · 105 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf12…76debacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x035c…ff43backed Yes | 31c | 96.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x477e…23b3backed Yes | 28c | 86.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea5…14d8backed Yes | 36c | 83.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x292a…e42fbacked Yes | 33c | 76.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 75c | 75.92$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x140b…d0d9backed Yes | 43c | 70.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…80b2backed Yes | 31c | 64.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 147 | 39.5%58 W · 89 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45fe…2423backed Yes | 31c | 64.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…62d0backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…e44bbacked Yes | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce0f…5c9ebacked Yes | 31c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.9wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 34c | 57.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 277 | 29.2%81 W · 196 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 72c | 53.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5273…69f5backed Yes | 42c | 50.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdc…efadbacked Yes | 33c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…4817backed Yes | 31c | 48.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 258 | 41.1%106 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf692…dd55backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf337…0b7dbacked Yes | 30c | 43.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf306…4cf8backed Yes | 31c | 35.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd4…0a6fbacked Yes | 43c | 35.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Yes | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f1…9e40backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 72cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dab…96c1backed Yes | 43c | 28.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…c8e4backed Yes | 40c | 25.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…5847backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…f90abacked Yes | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Harry Kane: 3+ goalsthis page
- Andrej Kramarić: 1+ goalsNo won
- Andrej Kramarić: 2+ shotsNo won
- Ante Budimir: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ante Budimir: 2+ shotsNo won
- Ante Budimir: 3+ goalsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 1+ assistsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 1+ goalsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 3+ goalsNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 1+ goalsNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 3+ goalsNo won
- Declan Rice: 1+ assistsYes won
- Declan Rice: 1+ goalsNo won
- Declan Rice: 2+ shotsNo won
- Declan Rice: 3+ goals + assistsNo won
- Eberechi Eze: 3+ goalsNo won
- Elliot Anderson: 1+ assistsYes won
- Harry Kane: 1+ assistsNo won
- Harry Kane: 1+ goalsYes won
- Harry Kane: 2+ goalsYes won
- Harry Kane: 3+ shotsYes won
- Harry Kane: 4+ shotsYes won
- Harry Kane: 5+ shotsYes won
- Igor Matanović: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ivan Perišić: 1+ assistsYes won
- Ivan Perišić: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ivan Perišić: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ivan Toney: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ivan Toney: 1+ shotsNo won
- John Stones: 1+ shotsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ assistsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsYes won
- Jude Bellingham: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 2+ shotsYes won
- Luka Modrić: 1+ assistsNo won
- Luka Modrić: 2+ shotsNo won
- Marco Pašalić: 1+ goalsNo won
- Marcus Rashford: 1+ goalsYes won
- Marcus Rashford: 1+ shotsYes won
- Marcus Rashford: 2+ shotsNo won
- Martin Baturina: 1+ goalsYes won
- Morgan Rogers: 1+ goalsNo won
- Nico O’Reilly: 1+ shotsYes won
- Nikola Vlašić: 1+ goalsNo won
- Noni Madueke: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ollie Watkins: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ollie Watkins: 1+ shotsNo won
- Petar Musa: 1+ goalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.