Fifa International · resolved market
Harry Kane: 1+ assists
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8f0affdd5b6feceaf321237645c31d64ebe4ce6226c3b41a1c9564aaa01db07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 80c | 1,069$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.71 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1695…324cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bae…a34cbacked Yes | 17c | 800$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 16c | 649.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 286 | 26.9%77 W · 209 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb417…6d8fbacked Yes | 17c | 440.61$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.1 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…5ad0backed Yes | 17c | 382.35$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb4…481dbacked Yes | 17c | 188.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe346…9040backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…9627backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…4476backed Yes | 19c | 104.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 50.9%108 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4c…f3bfbacked Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 256 | 39.1%100 W · 156 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e66…d50fbacked Yes | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…ac32backed Yes | 18c | 75.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Harry Kane: 1+ assiststhis page
- Andrej Kramarić: 1+ goalsNo won
- Andrej Kramarić: 2+ shotsNo won
- Ante Budimir: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ante Budimir: 2+ shotsNo won
- Ante Budimir: 3+ goalsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 1+ assistsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 1+ goalsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 3+ goalsNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 1+ goalsNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 3+ goalsNo won
- Declan Rice: 1+ assistsYes won
- Declan Rice: 1+ goalsNo won
- Declan Rice: 2+ shotsNo won
- Declan Rice: 3+ goals + assistsNo won
- Eberechi Eze: 3+ goalsNo won
- Elliot Anderson: 1+ assistsYes won
- Harry Kane: 1+ goalsYes won
- Harry Kane: 2+ goalsYes won
- Harry Kane: 3+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 3+ shotsYes won
- Harry Kane: 4+ shotsYes won
- Harry Kane: 5+ shotsYes won
- Igor Matanović: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ivan Perišić: 1+ assistsYes won
- Ivan Perišić: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ivan Perišić: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ivan Toney: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ivan Toney: 1+ shotsNo won
- John Stones: 1+ shotsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ assistsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsYes won
- Jude Bellingham: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 2+ shotsYes won
- Luka Modrić: 1+ assistsNo won
- Luka Modrić: 2+ shotsNo won
- Marco Pašalić: 1+ goalsNo won
- Marcus Rashford: 1+ goalsYes won
- Marcus Rashford: 1+ shotsYes won
- Marcus Rashford: 2+ shotsNo won
- Martin Baturina: 1+ goalsYes won
- Morgan Rogers: 1+ goalsNo won
- Nico O’Reilly: 1+ shotsYes won
- Nikola Vlašić: 1+ goalsNo won
- Noni Madueke: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ollie Watkins: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ollie Watkins: 1+ shotsNo won
- Petar Musa: 1+ goalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.