Fifa International · resolved market
Petar Musa: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf287cf67edfda5526bdc20b555ed336331bc725bef012dcce280959de2547ba1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,740
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,455
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,740 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 79c | 2,412$1,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905.59 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d5…df2fbacked Yes | 21c | 1,571$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.43 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe346…9040backed Yes | 21c | 618.6$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.6 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…5e20backed Yes | 17c | 558.82$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.82 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x978f…e14dbacked No | 5c | 516.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…4d84backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…4c80backed Yes | 77c | 370$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | +20.7wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 79c | 300$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d54…6022backed No | 80c | 300$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 128 | 71.9%92 W · 36 L | +14.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd00a…8126backed Yes | 20c | 239.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.6 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x726a…196bbacked No | 49c | 165$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 21c | 140.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 223 | 37.2%83 W · 140 L | +20.1wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed No | 78c | 71.05$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.42 | 265 | 37.7%100 W · 165 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec4e…0e05backed Yes | 21c | 67.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 79c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Petar Musa: 1+ goalsthis page
- Andrej Kramarić: 1+ goalsNo won
- Andrej Kramarić: 2+ shotsNo won
- Ante Budimir: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ante Budimir: 2+ shotsNo won
- Ante Budimir: 3+ goalsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 1+ assistsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 1+ goalsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 3+ goalsNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 1+ goalsNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 3+ goalsNo won
- Declan Rice: 1+ assistsYes won
- Declan Rice: 1+ goalsNo won
- Declan Rice: 2+ shotsNo won
- Declan Rice: 3+ goals + assistsNo won
- Eberechi Eze: 3+ goalsNo won
- Elliot Anderson: 1+ assistsYes won
- Harry Kane: 1+ assistsNo won
- Harry Kane: 1+ goalsYes won
- Harry Kane: 2+ goalsYes won
- Harry Kane: 3+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 3+ shotsYes won
- Harry Kane: 4+ shotsYes won
- Harry Kane: 5+ shotsYes won
- Igor Matanović: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ivan Perišić: 1+ assistsYes won
- Ivan Perišić: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ivan Perišić: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ivan Toney: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ivan Toney: 1+ shotsNo won
- John Stones: 1+ shotsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ assistsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsYes won
- Jude Bellingham: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 2+ shotsYes won
- Luka Modrić: 1+ assistsNo won
- Luka Modrić: 2+ shotsNo won
- Marco Pašalić: 1+ goalsNo won
- Marcus Rashford: 1+ goalsYes won
- Marcus Rashford: 1+ shotsYes won
- Marcus Rashford: 2+ shotsNo won
- Martin Baturina: 1+ goalsYes won
- Morgan Rogers: 1+ goalsNo won
- Nico O’Reilly: 1+ shotsYes won
- Nikola Vlašić: 1+ goalsNo won
- Noni Madueke: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ollie Watkins: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ollie Watkins: 1+ shotsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.