TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf692…dd55

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
209
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: MLB, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 59 out of 100; worst Commodities at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT4531.1%14 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,183Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,182.58
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,069Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,069.45
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.8
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$959Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$959.5
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$354.55
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.76
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$431.78
Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.78
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$911.11
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$133.33
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.64
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$103.03
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$300
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$66.67
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3727%10 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$326.16
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Sweden: Team to Advancebacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Erling Haaland: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.67
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$371.43
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Kai Havertz: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.65
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,847Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+189.1%+$3,493.5
Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$719.51
Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$554.58
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$404.45
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.98
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+67%+$74.19
Harry Kane: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$40.28
Erling Haaland: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexandra Eala vs Magdalena Frechbacked Magdalena Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$235
Aix en Provence: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
La Bisbal: Tamara Korpatsch vs Marina Bassols Riberabacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Ostrava: Raul Brancaccio vs Zdenek Kolarbacked Zdenek Kolar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+68.7%+$44.66
Mauthausen: Jaime Faria vs Darwin Blanchbacked Darwin Blanch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.63
Huzhou: Katarzyna Kawa vs Hanyu Guobacked Katarzyna Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+72.9%+$145.76
Abidjan 2: Calvin Hemery vs Michael Mmohbacked Michael Mmoh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$98.51
Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$36.67
Aix en Provence: Ignacio Buse vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+76.6%+$153.18
La Bisbal: Caroline Werner vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Caroline Werner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cagliari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Jesper de Jongbacked Gianluca Cadenasso · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$276.23
La Bisbal: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Elena Pridankinabacked Sara Sorribes Tormo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+215.2%+$64.57
La Bisbal: Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Marina Bassols Riberabacked Beatriz Haddad Maia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$208.16
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$117.46
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$260.68
RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. CD Leganés: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
FC Andorra vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$47.14
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-05-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+84.7%+$42.36
All 11 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jeju SK FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Kashima Antlers vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+220.7%+$661.95
Jeju SK FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+72.8%+$50.98
Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$50
Urawa Red Diamonds vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$53.16
Urawa Red Diamonds vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$6.77
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$116.67
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+125.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$1,011.11
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+216.2%+$216.25
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+109%+$108.95
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$176.82
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$138.1
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.24
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.36
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-42%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,219Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,219.01
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will a team from Germany be the 2026 Champions League winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$781Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+83.1%+$649.25
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$588Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$588.12
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$77.41
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+118.3%+$116.55
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rio Ave FC vs. Gil Vicente FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$53.54
Samsunspor vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Will SK Brann win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$23.49
SK Brann vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will CD Nacional vs. AVS Futebol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+142.6%+$185.33
Viking FK vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$204.55
Will Konyaspor win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Konyaspor: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-69.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$336.87
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.75
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$139.68
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.96
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$78.97
Will Starmer say "Europe" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+58.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-83.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+59.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-54.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+88.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$124.68
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+43.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$194
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$123
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.91per pick9cpaid+1,011.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$1,011.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.