Asian League · resolved market
Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27422de9c0a2d2b9c78f9bdac1a5e3c9e0bedc1578bf9395b3901e68b7149808
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,243
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,243 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 22c | 3,703$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.44 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Yes | 59c | 1,800$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +43%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f9…0eaabacked No | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 41c | 929.49$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.09 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 7c | 774.07$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.67 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 41c | 738.46$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 59c | 620.65$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.47 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Yes | 60c | 600$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 41c | 561.52$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.9 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 11c | 366.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.02 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 78c | 337.21$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.89 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 23c | 330.21$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.95 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 41c | 314.42$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.68 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 45c | 302.71$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf692…dd55backed Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…c53cbacked Yes | 80c | 238.9$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 42c | 221.42$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.55 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af0…9996backed Yes | 60c | 177.17$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934e…f045backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Yes | 80c | 161.51$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 41c | 160$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 21c | 150.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 26c | 133.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 427 | 25.8%110 W · 317 L | -34.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 25c | 106.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 22c | 101$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 61c | 100.77$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…6a33backed No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 67c | 99.9$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe378…148ebacked Yes | 80c | 88.75$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 78c | 85.74$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 1,035 | 41.6%431 W · 604 L | -33.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1410…1ba2backed Yes | 59c | 85.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 41c | 76.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 58c | 72.41$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 40c | 66.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 60c | 61.42$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 40c | 59.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked No | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e20…ac93backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b03…13eebacked Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdba4…1528backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aea…2ab8backed Yes | 63c | 47.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 57c | 47.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes | 61c | 45.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb534…f7e7backed Yes | 67c | 43.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked No | 41c | 43.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 424 | 51.2%217 W · 207 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf54e…1297backed Yes | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed No | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 41c | 39.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 34c | 38.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 377 | 59.4%224 W · 153 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 66c | 38.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 58c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x251e…bfe7backed Yes | 59c | 35.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 57c | 34.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 58c | 34.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 63c | 32.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 41c | 31.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 67c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10a1…97e6backed Yes | 79c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d9…d312backed Yes | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90e6…87a4backed Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…bd61backed Yes | 69c | 29.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…14b2backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -6.7wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xec44…d3bbbacked Yes | 80c | 25.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 64cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…6ba8backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd45c…bb50backed No | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb988…f50fbacked Yes | 80c | 22.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 44c | 22.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 68c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…af55backed Yes | 58c | 20.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed Yes | 55c | 18.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…9646backed Yes | 80c | 13.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.74 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked Yes | 79c | 13.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.74 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcd…d377backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba win on 2026-05-02?No won
- Will Urawa Red Diamonds vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.