TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$436,437
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$432,060

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $436,437 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38f0…2768backed No61c189,106$114,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,324.71369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+26.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed Yes38c62,460$23,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,610.0516040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes39c32,849$12,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,811.112,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No62c29,763$18,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,239.8119239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes39c27,291$10,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,745.591,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3f8…4682backed Yes10c21,790$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes31c20,858$6,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,396.436,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Yes37c13,514$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes39c13,409$5,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,290.2445249.6%224 W · 228 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes39c10,990$4,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,269.4857847.8%276 W · 302 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No63c8,499$5,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,144.4835652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Yes39c7,000$2,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7306448.4%31 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Yes39c7,000$2,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,73013151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Yes39c7,000$2,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,73010951.4%56 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Yes39c7,000$2,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,73016050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad58…7624backed Yes39c5,100$2,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Yes39c4,533$1,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7684845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes38c4,311$1,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,630.5981234.7%282 W · 530 L-24.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes39c3,556$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,393.531,61534.9%564 W · 1,051 L-28.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes39c3,380$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,326.062,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No63c3,128$1,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.2640655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes40c2,923$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.149544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes37c2,862$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.9211652.6%61 W · 55 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes40c2,770$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.1758446.1%269 W · 315 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8105…3287backed Yes39c2,564$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002737%10 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x033a…fc42backed Yes39c2,500$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.527557.3%43 W · 32 L+9.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+37.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes37c2,098$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.2627752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7858…a5eabacked Yes40c2,056$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.619753.6%52 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked No63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7405658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8005032%16 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76025544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Yes37c1,936$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.73948.7%19 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Yes39c1,800$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7029451.1%48 W · 46 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde0f…ddd3backed Yes12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes39c1,500$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.5955351.9%287 W · 266 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes39c1,390$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.196443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes38c1,385$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.5253240%213 W · 319 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes38c1,337$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.0254132.9%178 W · 363 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Yes38c1,307$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.7814463.2%91 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No63c1,220$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.141850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No59c1,219$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.9918253.8%98 W · 84 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb92a…f51cbacked No62c1,200$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Yes37c1,086$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.8822146.2%102 W · 119 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes17c1,059$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18023632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes39c1,051$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.9126444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ae5…6079backed Yes40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76d2…2f4dbacked Yes43c945.02$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.36825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2768…2e81backed Yes41c941.24$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.91333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Yes12c916.67$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110240%0 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes39c900$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35112562.4%78 W · 47 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes40c800$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31614654.8%80 W · 66 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes13c800$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10413721.2%29 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes37c777$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.4929250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3a…ccbebacked Yes2c741.88$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.073046.7%14 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Yes37c700$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25923258.2%135 W · 97 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes37c696.98$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.4474644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad58…3773backed Yes37c675.68$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505743.9%25 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes39c641$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.991,20842.2%510 W · 698 L-27.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes40c633.26$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.316753.3%89 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes37c598.46$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.3615740.1%63 W · 94 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-12.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes20c593.93$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.2616024.4%39 W · 121 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Yes39c569.23$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2228350.6%42 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No62c557.26$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.763748.6%18 W · 19 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick61cpaid-29.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007742.9%33 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Yes37c531.36$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Yes39c516.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20035028.9%101 W · 249 L-19.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004845.8%22 W · 26 L-5.5wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb65e…de52backed Yes2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes39c499.99$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.1184549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No72c498.39$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.0753344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed No63c473$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.012454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes40c461.7$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.1113847.1%65 W · 73 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed Yes37c452.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.774233.3%14 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes38c447.37$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1702138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+16.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5ab7…d03cbacked Yes39c417.95$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1632138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Yes37c405.41$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504020%8 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2d1…f8c0backed Yes42c399.98$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.991127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-45.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Yes39c388.5$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.769345.2%42 W · 51 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No80c381$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0115470.8%109 W · 45 L+22.5wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+29.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Yes39c320.51$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1256241.9%26 W · 36 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes34c318.25$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.0238233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes39c313.85$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.9821250.9%108 W · 104 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a7…55bebacked No64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.51361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+23.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes37c310.81$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1157525.3%19 W · 56 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes40c309.1$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.3575850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10819735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a1…8e53backed Yes20c294.87$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No72c281.13$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6422645.6%103 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes39c272$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.167648.7%37 W · 39 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Yes37c271$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.274854.2%26 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4583…6ca4backed Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44f4…f3dabacked Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54a2…5dfebacked Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes39c266.28$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.8522834.2%78 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Yes37c263.89$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.644555.6%25 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No59c221.47$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.1415233.6%51 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc20c…fdb5backed Yes40c214$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.794463.6%28 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc48…04edbacked Yes17c213.16$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Yes38c210.53$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809955.6%55 W · 44 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x18ff…ee46backed Yes39c210.26$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.