TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,839
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,392

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,839 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Yes21c14,014$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+43.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Yes27c7,100$1,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,917540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No76c6,066$4,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,435.0688635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No73c1,400$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.9755751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Yes8c1,367$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.5510634%36 W · 70 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes19c1,223$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.417044.3%31 W · 39 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5675…f99cbacked Yes26c1,200$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3125743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No74c872.86$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.9418453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No73c799.94$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.9825544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8640…cdf1backed Yes27c722.22$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19530%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No73c596.15$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.966660.6%40 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes24c593.47$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.2874644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes27c499.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1354156.1%23 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1633…1e55backed Yes21c490$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.95125.5%13 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick25cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes25c423.08$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.087427%20 W · 54 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes26c423.08$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11053134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yes25c395.51$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.882437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No74c390.77$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.614654.8%80 W · 66 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4490…fe8bbacked Yes5c385.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.98540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc1…1efbbacked Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-54.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe505…3068backed Yes27c375.93$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.560%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8767…a37fbacked Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No74c356.99$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.3884549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes9c356.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3757833%191 W · 387 L-29.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes26c311.97$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.115032%16 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13ad…241bbacked No75c303.26$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.812240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8141850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a7…55bebacked Yes27c296.3$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+23.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No76c233.13$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9422645.6%103 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+28.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xffff…4413backed Yes7c227.04$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5615249.3%75 W · 77 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a16…5f47backed No74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5211850%59 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes26c199.98$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9910838.9%42 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No76c199$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5453344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No74c198.95$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0914463.2%91 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf16…b3eabacked Yes27c185$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.951127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfa0…62dfbacked Yes27c185$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9530%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc20c…fdb5backed No74c183.98$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.834463.6%28 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes23c173.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407525.3%19 W · 56 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No74c168$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.688666.3%57 W · 29 L+0.4wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No75c152.03$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a7a…69c9backed Yes26c147.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.481145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No75c120$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5721250.9%108 W · 104 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe89…e3c0backed Yes21c119.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254645.7%21 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No75c102.34$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.822049.1%108 W · 112 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes17c101.66$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1657150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed9d…444abacked Yes24c101.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.241136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa386…cb0fbacked No74c100.35$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.091163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+45.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2620958.9%123 W · 86 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610233.3%34 W · 68 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ece…0163backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+51.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf74…aa8ebacked Yes27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7350…9dc0backed Yes27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518239.6%72 W · 110 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes26c92.57$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0719239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c6c…998fbacked No74c88.89$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.113053.3%16 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+59.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Yes22c88.42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.443447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No74c87.8$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0172142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205048%24 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205641.1%23 W · 33 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+28%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Yes26c72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.729436.2%34 W · 60 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Yes26c67.64$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.831822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x857e…4a0dbacked Yes26c67.6$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40fc…498dbacked No74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.572356.5%13 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Yes23c65.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157236.1%26 W · 46 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b55…b1cebacked Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No74c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.610765.4%70 W · 37 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes26c59.72$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5326444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x65f3…c5c0backed Yes26c58.82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.29933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-48.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe999…199bbacked Yes26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151353.8%7 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.25per pick28cpaid+131.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb305…a400backed Yes27c55.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155450%27 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ed…8f34backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+232.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.533551.3%172 W · 163 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb36…06c8backed Yes26c49.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134932.7%16 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10e5…b4e9backed Yes26c49$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7440%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked No77c46.61$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6818463%116 W · 68 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No74c44.9$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6780953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18d2…e9c3backed No78c43.26$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.315373.6%39 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6af5…2df9backed No75c42.7$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33ca…f810backed Yes26c42.31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113636.1%13 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick24cpaid+51.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd0dc…ffadbacked No75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108258.5%48 W · 34 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-3.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked No74c36.22$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4211265.2%73 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b85…b31bbacked No80c31.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.251172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No78c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.752045%9 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x608a…966bbacked No75c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+40.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked No74c29.78$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.746560%39 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No74c29.3$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.621,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No76c29$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0912531.2%39 W · 86 L-11.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-44.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No74c26.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0136554.5%199 W · 166 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e9c…4da4backed No75c25.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.45250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x022d…afcbbacked No74c20.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No74c20.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3214162.4%88 W · 53 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea65…d27dbacked No75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55860.3%35 W · 23 L-8.2wins-0.14per pick75cpaid-18.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No74c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.947853.8%42 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed No76c19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4924557.6%141 W · 104 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No74c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.95761.4%35 W · 22 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ae3…93c3backed No74c14.93$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.882065%13 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick65cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.