Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1f1a306f01c445516e9179c26b706e0feea26d24b2a29c18af090738fb8d9e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,981
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,981 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29ab…a640backed Yes | 12c | 3,000$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 14c | 1,365$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.09 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…0607backed Yes | 10c | 1,030$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258a…52a2backed Yes | 27c | 1,004$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…f1ccbacked No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.05 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yes | 23c | 725.43$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 26c | 586.54$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68ee…f785backed Yes | 7c | 514.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…bd61backed Yes | 26c | 490.15$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.44 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…c05ebacked Yes | 16c | 437.12$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda51…ef7fbacked No | 76c | 352.72$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 74c | 225.06$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c9…e4b3backed Yes | 12c | 212.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 9c | 199.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 14c | 187.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6f…0c8bbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b25…439fbacked Yes | 17c | 176.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -72%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 73c | 146.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 104.32$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 10c | 102$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked No | 70c | 85.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…6b66backed Yes | 22c | 77.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 28c | 71.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf692…dd55backed No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 27c | 61.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 30c | 57.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Yes | 21c | 56.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 26c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3d…3d83backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 58c | 36.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 76c | 25.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 79c | 23.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a77…8b53backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
- Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.