Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e05ffbf7f97880f02403942dbbed34f3d679e6c432e32a0c695cf785259b0f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Yes | 0c | 14,732$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a69…62ddbacked Yes | 3c | 13,333$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.56 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 0c | 10,855$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 60 | 20%12 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…a640backed Yes | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 9c | 1,639$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.61 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…0607backed Yes | 2c | 1,583$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf579…3519backed Yes | 2c | 1,228$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,218$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.29 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 15cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa164…4e82backed Yes | 11c | 1,173$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 4c | 1,002$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…6b66backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Yes | 26c | 462.85$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…c775backed Yes | 24c | 416.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 8c | 396.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f48…f8c8backed Yes | 27c | 360.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 8c | 266.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes | 5c | 264.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 11c | 189.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…fd16backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 73c | 159.26$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf57c…66febacked Yes | 13c | 146.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 10c | 145.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 14c | 144.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Yes | 8c | 132.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Yes | 8c | 125.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed Yes | 21c | 124.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…c05ebacked Yes | 9c | 117.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Yes | 10c | 105$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Yes | 18c | 103.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c9…e4b3backed Yes | 11c | 103.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b25…439fbacked Yes | 13c | 92.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -72%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked No | 74c | 86.68$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…3469backed Yes | 23c | 84.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 25c | 71.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90c8…4573backed No | 79c | 63.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked No | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 21c | 59.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 79c | 48.63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6114…fe05backed Yes | 23c | 43.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed No | 76c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f8…4781backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e9…4a1bbacked No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 79c | 20.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 80c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.11 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
- Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.