TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfd45…c05e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
326
Categories scored
44
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: MLB, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 58 out of 100; worst Earnings at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT3658.3%21 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 320 to 350 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
Will 150 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.13
Will Seattle have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.02
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.82
Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$7.78
Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.87
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$13.67
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$9.37
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 32-33°F on March 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12.18
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -6°C on March 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.73
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32°C on March 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$18.7
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 33°C on March 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+33.5%+$4.5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.16
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+57.7%+$13.92
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.73
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+42.3%+$6.6
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+73.6%+$15.79
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+52.7%+$5.87
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.27
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+33.1%+$4.21
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+82.2%+$37.12
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+38.4%+$8.15
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.9
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.81
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.04
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.84
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+64.5%+$15.68
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+54.8%+$28.98
Bulls vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$27.54
Pistons vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+53.8%+$14.26
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$40.92
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+38.4%+$17.18
Jazz vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+36.2%+$10.51
Suns vs. Kingsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+38.5%+$10.23
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+37.2%+$15.34
Mavericks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+25%+$3.94
Pelicans vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+44.1%+$5.39
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+97%+$13.5
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+62.6%+$28.53
Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.78
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.4
Raptors vs. Wizardsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+32.9%+$4.32
Rockets vs. Heat: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$52.83
Spread: Hornets (-7.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+89.2%+$11.27
Trail Blazers vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+93.2%+$11.74
Spread: Hornets (-8.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$16.7
Trail Blazers vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20.95
Trail Blazers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+25.5%+$9.8
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+51%+$15.41
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT2429.2%7 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick24cpaid-37.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.05
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.95
Will Meta’s Q1 headcount be above 77000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.73
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.94
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$6.59
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$5.59
Will Claude go down 9-10 times in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+403%+$42.16
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+27%+$15.85
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+74.7%+$12.76
Will no company have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$30.14
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.39
Will Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+104.7%+$79.28
Will Meta settle with the FTC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.92
Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.17
Will Ozzy Osbourne be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$19.56
Will Pope Francis be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$380.63
Will Jenna Ortega be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$29.32
Will Ana de Armas be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15.79
Will Diddy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$65.67
Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$471Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$471.39
Will Taylor Swift be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$309.5
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$16.4
Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+129.1%+$18.41
Will xAI have the second best AI model on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.97
All 24 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+79.4%+$15.64
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+40.2%+$5.69
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+55.5%+$7.69
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs G2 NORD - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+62.3%+$7.43
LoL: Sentinels vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.59
LoL: Sentinels vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+32.7%+$4.19
LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Cup Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+87.4%+$54.38
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20.25
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.31
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+99.2%+$44.89
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5)backed GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$17.93
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+52.3%+$12.94
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winnerbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$17.1
LoL: Deer Gaming vs Arctic Pandas (BO1) - NLC Regular Seasonbacked Arctic Pandas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+42.5%+$8.11
LoL: Solary vs Galions Sharks (BO5) - LFL Invitational Playoffsbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+46.4%+$29.19
LoL: Verdant vs Bulldog Esports (BO1) - NLC Regular Seasonbacked Verdant · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+28.7%+$3.76
LoL: S2G Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 2 Winnerbacked S2G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+53.3%+$7.88
Will Top Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$276.46
Will a team from LCP (Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.08
All 19 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick16cpaid+28.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Movies — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Joachim Trier win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.84
Will One Battle After Another win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.47
Will Nina Gold (Hamnet) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$28.87
Will Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$61.23
Will The Testament of Ann Lee be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$27.55
Will Rental Family be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$33.53
Will F1 be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+947.6%+$224.67
Will Bugonia be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+136.1%+$23.54
Will Regina Hall be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.91
Will Amy Madigan be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$39.43
Will Delroy Lindo be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+247.9%+$37.69
Will KPop Demon Hunters win Best Motion Picture – Animated at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$113.11
Will The Studio win Best Television Series – Comedy or Musical at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$39.09
Will Kei Kawamura & Yumi Takada (Rental Family) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$11.17
Will "Black Phone 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.58
Will "Black Phone 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.56
Will "Black Phone 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 26m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+250.6%+$81.74
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+133.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.42
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+304.1%+$230.19
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+29.2%+$4.05
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$53.71
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+25.5%+$13.09
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+32.9%+$9.09
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+31.5%+$3.94
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+75.4%+$46.99
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$53.1
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+105.3%+$100.8
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+38.8%+$10.14
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$109.74
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+1,592.2%+$1,660.86
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.75
All 14 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+62.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Puerto Rico win Pool A at the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+235.6%+$86.39
First Round Pool C: Australia vs. South Koreabacked South Korea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+50.5%+$15.11
First Round Pool D: Israel vs. Nicaraguabacked Israel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+171.7%+$64.38
First Round Pool B: Italy vs. Great Britainbacked Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$5.49
First Round Pool C: South Korea vs. Chinese Taipeibacked South Korea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.89
First Round Pool A: Canada vs. Colombiabacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$95.01
First Round Pool C: Czechia vs. Chinese Taipeibacked Chinese Taipei · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+42.2%+$7.57
First Round Pool A: Colombia vs. Puerto Ricobacked Puerto Rico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+58.2%+$9.96
First Round Pool D: Venezuela vs. Netherlandsbacked Venezuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+32.5%+$9.83
First Round Pool A: Panama vs. Cubabacked Cuba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$31.65
Will the Toronto Blue Jays lose the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+363.1%+$38.58
Will the 2025 MLB World Series be won by a #3 seed?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$13.07
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.21per pick33cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.12
Will Trump and Putin meet next in South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.92
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$18.06
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+130.5%+$38.81
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.94
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$65.66
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 2 and 4 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+215.7%+$36.59
Will Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+127.5%+$47.14
Will Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+145.2%+$95.28
Will Trump say "NATO" 3+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.84
Will Trump say "Trillion" or "Million" or "Billion" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+105.5%+$98.51
All 11 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.33
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.8
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $175-$180 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19.38
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $410-$420 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+63.1%+$7.94
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 2 above $380?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+34%+$4.95
Will Meta (META) finish week of March 2 above $680?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+27.5%+$5.5
Will Meta (META) finish week of March 2 above $670?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+56.1%+$11.64
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of March 2 above $220?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+43%+$6.62
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 2 above $295?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+35.5%+$11.95
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of March 2 above $410?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+43.9%+$9.81
Will Tesla (TSLA) say "Optimus" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.45
All 11 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+99.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.98
Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.36
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.85
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+74%+$8.39
Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.53
Will AV (Green Alliance) win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.1
Romanian politician Georgescu guilty in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.7
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+1,395.2%+$4,486.95
Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$646Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$646.01
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will St. Pauli be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+96.8%+$17.2
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.02
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+56%+$8.09
1. FC Köln vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+54.2%+$7.65
VfL Wolfsburg vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+65.3%+$10.02
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+30%+$4.91
Will RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+43.3%+$8.09
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+40.7%+$7.42
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-10-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.02
All 9 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-65.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 23-March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$33.91
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 23-March 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+73.1%+$17.23
Will XRP dip to $1.30 February 23-March 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$27.8
Will Fartcoin hit $0.7 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$256.44
Will XRP reach $3.50 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$240.2
Will XRP reach $3.30 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.11
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$747Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$747.39
Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$669Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+36.1%+$241.6
Will Bitcoin reach $116,000 October 13-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.11
All 9 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-75.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SBV Excelsior win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.34
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+120.3%+$53.49
Will CD Tondela vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.97
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.35
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.85
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.47
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.44
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.06
Will Kayserispor vs. Samsunspor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.98
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$21.5
Will Jo Rae Perkins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.18
Will Ed Diehl win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$5.79
Dems or GOP larger turnout in Texas Senate Primary?backed Dems · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$8.22
Will James Solomon win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+392.3%+$87.22
Will Andrew Cuomo get between 30% and 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$142.92
Will Andrew Cuomo get between 20% and 25% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$56.75
Will Zohran Mamdani win Manhattan in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$67.01
All 8 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-22.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick27cpaid-83.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.48
Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$117.04
Will Burnley finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.17
Will Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.16
Will Everton qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.4
Arsenal FC leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13.31
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.57
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-10-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.98
All 8 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-51.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick63cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-41.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Earnings — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+51.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid-45.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-38.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+71.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+242.3%+$50.61
Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Serie A league?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wei Yi win the 2025 FIDE World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$61.33
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2025 FIDE World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$11.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Paris Basketballbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+150.1%+$20.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ferrari finish fourth in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+82.2%+$13.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces new drug boat strike by March 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+81.5%+$18.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$17.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+46.3%+$5.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed rate cut by October 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close between $4700 and $4800 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$419Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$419.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation increase by between 27% and 29.9% in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$24.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Larry Wheels divorce by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Brieuc: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Hugo Gastonbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.