TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

First Round Pool A: Colombia vs. Puerto Rico

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Puerto Ricoof Colombia, Puerto Rico
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,395

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,395 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0e4a…311cbacked Colombia24c8,496$2,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,043.0912247.5%58 W · 64 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Puerto Rico76c7,134$5,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,736.225442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Colombia25c5,000$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2508247.6%39 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Colombia0c4,929$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.263929.4%37 W · 355 L+1.5wins0.00per pick9cpaid-40.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6368…6dc8backed Puerto Rico76c4,342$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.115149%25 W · 26 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Colombia1c4,260$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0814724.5%36 W · 111 L-0.3wins0.00per pick25cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Colombia27c3,432$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.343250%16 W · 16 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+59%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Puerto Rico76c2,297$1,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.215149%25 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcad…df78backed Colombia30c1,478$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.6710930.3%33 W · 76 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Colombia24c1,474$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.7646547.1%219 W · 246 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Colombia24c1,251$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.1213345.9%61 W · 72 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Puerto Rico70c1,174$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.7510544.8%47 W · 58 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Colombia21c1,068$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.961,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xede1…54cbbacked Puerto Rico76c1,053$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.872100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Puerto Rico76c1,049$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.2820548.3%99 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Colombia24c800$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.923455.6%130 W · 104 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Puerto Rico71c751$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.5947745.7%218 W · 259 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Puerto Rico74c750$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.038644.2%38 W · 48 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb908…d807backed Puerto Rico75c666.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.674100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Puerto Rico73c619.98$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.8712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Puerto Rico76c461.09$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1112231.8%7 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick27cpaid-39.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9450…d9e6backed Colombia25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001850%9 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Puerto Rico75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10040548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf83d…367dbacked Puerto Rico75c398$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.66145.9%28 W · 33 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+51.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Colombia25c392.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.151,91153.1%1,014 W · 897 L+43.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Puerto Rico72c374.22$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.8740846.1%188 W · 220 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Puerto Rico71c351$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.531038.4%119 W · 191 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Puerto Rico75c317.8$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.458948.3%43 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Colombia29c300$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869021.1%19 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-51.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Colombia4c299.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.31,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7906…1432backed Puerto Rico78c257.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.191172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick72cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…4b03backed Colombia40c251.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Colombia5c216.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81336.1%2 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick3cpaid+66.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Puerto Rico77c213.81$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.562,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Colombia23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4650751.7%262 W · 245 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…2037backed Colombia24c196.54$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Puerto Rico75c193$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.355248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dc…ab58backed Puerto Rico75c184.6$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.234540%18 W · 27 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-31.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Colombia22c154.41$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.484951%25 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Colombia22c149.08$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.728336.1%30 W · 53 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked Colombia20c135.95$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0914251.4%73 W · 69 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Colombia11c135.37$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.22025%5 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+76.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2818…04a2backed Puerto Rico77c130.66$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.66742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick68cpaid-36.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Colombia22c126$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.597753.2%41 W · 36 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb5b…69ebbacked Colombia24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308756.3%49 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Colombia25c119.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.981,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Puerto Rico74c115.62$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9755541.4%230 W · 325 L-26.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Colombia23c110.95$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5284049.4%415 W · 425 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Colombia24c108.64$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.07955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Colombia24c106$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.442839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8b5…9153backed Puerto Rico79c98.1$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.63100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+67.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e36…70e3backed Puerto Rico78c90$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46ff…6672backed Colombia24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Colombia24c82.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8326845.9%123 W · 145 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Colombia29c79.84$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.436,30248.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L+181.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Puerto Rico77c78.27$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.271553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Puerto Rico77c75.79$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.435354.7%29 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Colombia21c75$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.18154.3%44 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe89…c2b1backed Puerto Rico77c74.31$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.09450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-32.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked Colombia56c71.42$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Colombia26c71.08$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4840%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Colombia26c70.22$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3784122.7%191 W · 650 L-81.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-29.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Colombia24c70$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.812651.6%65 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74f9…ad71backed Colombia29c70$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207149.3%35 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Puerto Rico74c67.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.771233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Colombia25c65.86$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7695041.5%394 W · 556 L-48.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Puerto Rico73c64$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.252,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Colombia23c64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.729745.4%44 W · 53 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Colombia30c62.14$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.591,14948.9%562 W · 587 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Puerto Rico75c60$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.19751.5%50 W · 47 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Colombia49c59.69$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.054250%21 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Puerto Rico73c58$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.410353.4%55 W · 48 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7130…6655backed Colombia34c55.94$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Puerto Rico74c54.6$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1812339%48 W · 75 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81c0…8b96backed Puerto Rico70c53.57$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.811782.4%14 W · 3 L+3.9wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+43.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8583…e3e3backed Colombia40c49.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9750…7956backed Puerto Rico73c48.15$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.151681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick63cpaid+26.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Colombia25c47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.751,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xec25…dec6backed Puerto Rico73c45.21$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.215066%33 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Colombia35c40.09$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0347345.7%216 W · 257 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed Puerto Rico77c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.259740.2%39 W · 58 L-10.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-25.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Puerto Rico50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152524%6 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Puerto Rico79c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3478146.4%362 W · 419 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd45…c05ebacked Puerto Rico63c27.08$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.961275%9 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+62.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Puerto Rico76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3230242.4%128 W · 174 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8a…8f0bbacked Puerto Rico78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.641968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Puerto Rico74c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.51,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c77…bde7backed Puerto Rico77c23.71$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.454052.5%21 W · 19 L-5.4wins-0.13per pick66cpaid-20.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4581…bef8backed Puerto Rico75c20.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.022100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26ab…3ba7backed Puerto Rico76c19.76$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.74666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff95…3c1cbacked Puerto Rico71c17.92$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed Puerto Rico76c17.43$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.1818852.7%99 W · 89 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.