Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca79771f582632406946bea87d5964d5a87bcae362564ab2f3d466a78e6ce19d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,724,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,724,486 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 614 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes | 47c | 400,000$187,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187,894.94 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed No | 53c | 108,500$57,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,995 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 53c | 95,490$50,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,880.46 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab82…abe5backed Yes | 38c | 93,473$35,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,063.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 51c | 77,677$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,677.09 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed No | 53c | 72,293$38,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,025.71 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 53c | 70,000$37,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,900 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 52c | 64,382$33,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,221.67 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked No | 51c | 63,778$32,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,251.33 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 79c | 60,000$47,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,400 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 52c | 52,999$27,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,449.44 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 49c | 48,388$23,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,492.9 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 67c | 31,102$20,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,954.73 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 79c | 30,000$23,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,700 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 61c | 27,713$16,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,905.55 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 54c | 23,620$12,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,901.27 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked No | 54c | 23,524$12,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,820.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 75c | 22,987$17,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,335.97 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 43c | 21,946$9,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,468.44 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Yes | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 49c | 18,553$9,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,040 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Yes | 49c | 16,327$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Yes | 68c | 16,000$10,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,840 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x473c…422bbacked Yes | 50c | 15,992$7,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,996 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…73d6backed No | 51c | 12,052$6,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,889.06 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Yes | 48c | 11,040$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 53c | 10,533$5,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,908.85 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked No | 36c | 10,485$3,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,675.42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c21…9b8abacked Yes | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 79c | 10,000$7,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,900 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…5598backed Yes | 49c | 10,000$4,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,948.85 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.29per pick | 44cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 51c | 9,358$4,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,585.4 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +6.8wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1c…6535backed No | 54c | 9,000$4,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,109.93 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 62c | 7,990$4,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,922.56 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked No | 51c | 7,423$3,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,637.3 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Yes | 49c | 7,231$3,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,543.13 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 53c | 7,000$3,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,290 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 29c | 6,942$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.97 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8d…b0e1backed Yes | 50c | 6,541$3,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,270 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d22…fb1cbacked Yes | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 53c | 6,071$3,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,853.53 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 51c | 5,933$3,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,044.11 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed No | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.43 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 74c | 5,303$3,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,901.1 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Yes | 48c | 4,947$2,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,382.89 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 49c | 4,657$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.56 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes | 50c | 4,613$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Yes | 50c | 4,001$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 27c | 3,633$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.53 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 51c | 3,500$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.96 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed No | 53c | 3,190$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.35 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 52c | 3,157$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.77 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.07 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed No | 52c | 2,944$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.14 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed No | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.86 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Yes | 28c | 2,857$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.94 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaed…580bbacked Yes | 48c | 2,636$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked No | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…0b07backed No | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb4…1023backed Yes | 50c | 2,320$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.84 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 48c | 2,009$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…eab4backed Yes | 51c | 1,765$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 52c | 1,698$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.9 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 62c | 1,641$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.63 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 66c | 1,501$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Yes | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed No | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed No | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…1ddcbacked Yes | 45c | 1,372$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.34 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 65c | 1,333$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.96 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 28c | 1,299$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.2 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…b131backed Yes | 49c | 1,222$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.93 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Yes | 50c | 1,196$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b5…a549backed Yes | 22c | 1,189$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 48c | 1,073$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.97 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 49c | 1,036$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.58 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a08…7eb3backed Yes | 6c | 905.79$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.05 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked No | 52c | 900$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d6…bdf8backed Yes | 50c | 879.47$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6c…4f6fbacked Yes | 46c | 865.65$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 52c | 850$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 45c | 801.91$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.86 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 40c | 777.39$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.43 | 94 | 76.6%72 W · 22 L | +16.8wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 51c | 751.8$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.04 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 20c | 750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 50c | 730$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.9 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 58c | 727.06$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…77b7backed Yes | 49c | 720$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.8 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 40c | 719.43$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.07 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 49c | 708$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.92 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 49c | 699.98$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.99 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 16c | 694.97$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.48 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?Yes won
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.