Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8004ebe5788e15399fdbcf7d8e415cc1d89eb3db9a494867044a4f2fd177ac56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $170,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,295 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x112c…dbdfbacked No | 76c | 19,994$15,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,195.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 25c | 16,245$4,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,183.91 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 42c | 12,418$5,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,151.97 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 19c | 11,895$2,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,270.65 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked No | 75c | 11,594$8,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,695.5 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed No | 74c | 10,000$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,400 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 24c | 9,375$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,125 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 44c | 5,974$2,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,611.75 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 5,736$4,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,301.63 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x702b…dedebacked Yes | 25c | 5,591$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,190.88 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 24c | 5,376$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,084.08 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Yes | 33c | 4,299$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,860.36 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc4…803dbacked Yes | 26c | 4,181$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,093.77 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 25c | 3,147$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360.27 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 73c | 2,171$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.96 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 14c | 1,995$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.1 | 94 | 76.6%72 W · 22 L | +16.8wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed No | 46c | 1,738$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.45 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 59c | 1,510$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.28 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…db0abacked Yes | 25c | 1,476$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.16 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.06 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 71cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36c0…5930backed Yes | 26c | 1,192$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +159.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 24c | 1,183$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.46 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed No | 75c | 1,173$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed No | 73c | 1,141$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.91 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 24c | 1,100$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.62 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…0b07backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c35…2965backed Yes | 27c | 952$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 34cpaid | +210.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 902$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.12 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 26c | 878.63$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.33 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 694.81$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.98 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 77c | 683.69$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.64 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaed…580bbacked No | 76c | 660.08$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e5…f012backed Yes | 26c | 576.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 65c | 427$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.82 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…d833backed Yes | 25c | 406.39$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +216.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae5…45b7backed Yes | 25c | 378.59$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 44c | 375.18$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.38 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 39c | 338$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.62 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 24c | 333$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.08 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 26c | 330.19$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.84 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked No | 75c | 316.47$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.2 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…1b97backed No | 76c | 301.97$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.3wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x744e…3224backed No | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.28per pick | 15cpaid | +183.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 75c | 299.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.99 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 75c | 299.98$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.99 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 75c | 292.59$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.69 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 19c | 269.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed No | 29c | 243.63$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.73 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 38cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 46c | 240.45$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.63 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 25c | 233.58$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.19 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 45c | 227.05$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…c20ebacked Yes | 29c | 217.24$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 20c | 215.23$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.23 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 49c | 201.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 27c | 199.42$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Yes | 18c | 194.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8158…4df5backed Yes | 26c | 192.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +227.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0439…3f80backed Yes | 26c | 190.35$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 25c | 180$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e28…cf34backed Yes | 25c | 171.1$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 15c | 160$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb381…45d1backed No | 76c | 152.65$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…9d35backed Yes | 15c | 150.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.89 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b28…abdebacked No | 76c | 141.63$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…dd52backed No | 76c | 129.25$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 49c | 128.93$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.44 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d9…bdd5backed No | 76c | 126.65$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaa…35b2backed No | 76c | 124.49$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 25c | 113.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.52 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016d…7f42backed No | 76c | 110.31$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 75c | 108$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.89 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed No | 75c | 105.26$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.95 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b26…15bebacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bb…60c2backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 25c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 34c | 90.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.04 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 25c | 90$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 29c | 89.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…3cb4backed Yes | 25c | 82.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaff2…9070backed No | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…ab3ebacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed No | 75c | 66.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…4b16backed Yes | 26c | 65.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5c…7f36backed No | 76c | 60.61$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2550…8813backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b7…de43backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Yes | 25c | 56.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 18c | 55.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?this page
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-07?No won
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.