Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x970c3658c812b75a91da2fa295f01029d0ca785986fa2bd4814a9fae36fc8cf2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,700 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Yes | 52c | 22,159$11,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,537.79 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x112c…dbdfbacked No | 74c | 13,200$9,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,432 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 55c | 5,926$3,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,678.32 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 26c | 4,942$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.26 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 26c | 4,040$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.36 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 4c | 3,536$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.47 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed No | 74c | 3,500$2,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.23 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…1302backed Yes | 14c | 2,154$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.41 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 49c | 2,000$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.46 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 1,762$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.47 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 41c | 1,436$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.71 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 26c | 1,100$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed No | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…9b05backed No | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 27c | 1,016$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.37 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…0b07backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 36c | 908.49$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.92 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 28c | 716.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…b250backed No | 55c | 687.4$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.33 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.38per pick | 49cpaid | +108.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 71c | 680.98$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.48 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Yes | 22c | 662.8$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 45c | 621.57$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.19 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked No | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 26c | 545.45$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.82 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 43c | 520.9$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.91 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 28c | 499.98$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…a32abacked Yes | 27c | 468.95$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 465.31$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.54 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0418…d347backed Yes | 27c | 451.77$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dee…8780backed Yes | 29c | 415.87$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda9d…226cbacked Yes | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab75…cce0backed Yes | 26c | 384.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.86 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 28c | 367.38$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.87 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 29c | 309$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.61 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecf9…9372backed Yes | 54c | 300.87$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.47 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked No | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dd…c0cdbacked Yes | 56c | 300$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 74c | 299.99$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…8a1bbacked No | 74c | 290.79$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -54%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked No | 75c | 275$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.7 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 265.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.09 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Yes | 44c | 225.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 20c | 213.27$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed No | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked No | 48c | 212.5$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.5 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…a103backed No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 61c | 198.87$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.55 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 26c | 190.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3b…4b00backed No | 74c | 188.91$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2135…9e8fbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125f…b7e8backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d7d…9e2ebacked No | 74c | 173.77$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e28…cf34backed Yes | 26c | 171.1$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 43c | 150$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.7 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 28c | 149.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8f…99e1backed No | 72c | 147.98$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 10c | 146.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccca…8d98backed No | 74c | 141.79$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef4…4d46backed No | 74c | 141.73$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa065…00d4backed No | 72c | 140.06$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…2e34backed No | 74c | 138.25$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8242…bfcfbacked No | 74c | 136.27$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…f32fbacked No | 75c | 134.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…7bfbbacked Yes | 26c | 132.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yes | 27c | 130.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1762…1f75backed No | 72c | 127.83$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cf…cf82backed No | 74c | 126.89$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 28c | 125.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 55c | 121.52$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.35 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c4…48e3backed Yes | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4b…f7d2backed Yes | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ea…98bdbacked Yes | 26c | 111$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 51c | 110.82$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.02 | 94 | 76.6%72 W · 22 L | +16.8wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…f17bbacked No | 74c | 108.02$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 63cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked No | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bb…60c2backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 27c | 93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25d4…4dc7backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 27c | 79.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…6002backed Yes | 26c | 77.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef5…0366backed Yes | 30c | 77.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Yes | 24c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…78d9backed Yes | 27c | 74.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed No | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…5775backed No | 36c | 70$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 26c | 69.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf06…8cf9backed Yes | 26c | 69.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…eedfbacked Yes | 72c | 68.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked No | 74c | 67.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaff2…9070backed No | 75c | 66.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 68c | 65.8$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…e592backed No | 77c | 63.91$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?Yes won
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.