TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7b5c…7f36

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT4957.1%28 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$8.95
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.15
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Magic vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$12.66
Pacers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$19.58
Raptors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$12.43
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+42.9%+$11.59
Magic vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$36.5
Pelicans vs. Sunsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Raptors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+47.1%+$11.76
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+28.2%+$11
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+29.9%+$13.89
Trail Blazers vs. Hawksbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Suns vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+35.1%+$13.7
Celtics vs. Timberwolvesbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$10.67
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$56.91
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Grizzlies vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Heat vs. Wizardsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$16.36
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$15.15
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burnley FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+300%+$39
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+38.9%+$17.5
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+300%+$39
Will Leeds United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+38.9%+$38.89
Will Southampton win on 2025-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will Tottenham vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Ipswich win on 2025-01-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Ipswich vs. Brighton end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$48.14
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+99.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 9, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockies vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$16
Brewers vs. Metsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Tigers vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli vs. Torino FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
North Carolina vs. UCFbacked North Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.