TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,727

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,727 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No79c42,164$33,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,708.458248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes21c20,434$4,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,382.231,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Yes3c9,999$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.3714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick10cpaid-45.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No78c9,410$7,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,070.1228543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No80c6,899$5,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,383.3812352.8%65 W · 58 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No78c5,897$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.4126645.9%122 W · 144 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes22c5,072$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.8938748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4219…7855backed Yes22c4,669$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0271540%6 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x702b…dedebacked Yes22c4,546$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001520%3 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49d…516dbacked Yes14c4,286$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes20c3,393$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.46659.1%39 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+50.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes20c2,739$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.6543427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes20c2,624$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.3759741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No79c2,500$1,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5255549.1%27 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No79c2,453$1,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.195944.1%26 W · 33 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed Yes22c2,274$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003253.1%17 W · 15 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick37cpaid+48.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes20c2,200$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.8810733.6%36 W · 71 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No79c1,989$1,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.755248.1%25 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes22c1,714$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3776225.8%16 W · 46 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No78c1,371$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.123063.3%19 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes2c1,307$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0110717.8%19 W · 88 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick14cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes22c1,200$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2644233.3%14 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes22c1,045$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.687463.5%47 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6e3…47acbacked Yes22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201520%3 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-41.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed Yes22c989$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.583930.8%12 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf938…f68ebacked Yes14c886.07$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.05850%4 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+143.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x90a5…7759backed Yes21c864.46$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.542040%8 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes7c747.83$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.11,02135.3%360 W · 661 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes22c700$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.8214645.2%66 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes13c669$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.977834.6%27 W · 51 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2f…c5d0backed No79c506.93$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.931478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed No79c500$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1055350.9%27 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No78c500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11039842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaed…580bbacked Yes20c475.47$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.09425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-55.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003520%7 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dbf…7776backed Yes21c435.74$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.281723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-57.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e46…de81backed Yes21c435.16$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.11250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f11…ce9fbacked No79c400$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843562.9%22 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes22c363.83$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809644.8%43 W · 53 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes19c361.78$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.349747.4%46 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f1…d87bbacked No79c356.86$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.645437%20 W · 34 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed No79c345$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7929350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1333…173bbacked Yes20c342.24$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.451127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-42%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f9…5eccbacked Yes22c338.23$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.26250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+127.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefe1…edcdbacked Yes21c334.61$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.19250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+39.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No78c331.99$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.0420644.7%92 W · 114 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No79c315.99$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.362532%8 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Yes23c300$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6912843.8%56 W · 72 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked No79c296.2$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.454427.3%12 W · 32 L-7.3wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfb5c…ae4ebacked Yes22c287.36$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb74…53c8backed Yes22c286.62$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No79c272.34$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4314650.7%74 W · 72 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Yes23c257.7$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.274632.6%15 W · 31 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+34.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes22c228.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504327.9%12 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No78c226.91$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9240350.9%205 W · 198 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes21c221.9$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.615847.5%75 W · 83 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No79c211.47$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5563346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes20c210$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429750.5%49 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes22c201$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5820643.2%89 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4413139.7%52 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104314%6 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick22cpaid+46.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x83f2…313bbacked Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-35.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c60…ba30backed Yes20c191.8$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.36540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-37.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfbf…f1e4backed No80c174.39$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.05366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick76cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes19c172$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6826047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c54…364cbacked No80c157.32$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.46250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6994…5969backed No80c154.97$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes22c152.03$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8613246.2%61 W · 71 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e24…cea8backed Yes22c150.68$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc85e…5d37backed Yes21c143.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302941.4%12 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+24.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56f4…7655backed No80c137.41$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e79…2d68backed Yes22c136.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304522.2%10 W · 35 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-40.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x60a5…f52ebacked Yes22c136.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304723.4%11 W · 36 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea7b…5b6dbacked Yes15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202420.8%5 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe824…6002backed Yes15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20475%3 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick26cpaid+163.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Yes21c130.06$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.319948.5%48 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9094…a787backed No79c127.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e3b…83fcbacked No79c127.33$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+65.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10f1…8136backed Yes22c127.27$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7963…9098backed No80c124.63$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-37.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f82…bc1bbacked No80c122.87$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bfc…fd26backed Yes22c115.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.253161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+36.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes21c115$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.46250%31 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fda…1fb9backed No79c114.06$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.072100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+148.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c3f…e120backed No79c114.06$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.074100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes15c108.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.333851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xabc6…2451backed No79c103.93$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.93650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a0e…4dc6backed No78c102.67$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.672365.2%15 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a8…4d27backed Yes21c100.36$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214729.8%14 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2011070%77 W · 33 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e5b…0324backed Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224637%17 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed No78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2221354%115 W · 98 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224440.9%18 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf76…395cbacked No79c99.55$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.012100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+74.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc378…c05abacked No79c97.41$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes22c97.28$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3912644.4%56 W · 70 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b8a…03b7backed No79c96.84$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.