TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,821,433

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,821,433 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,493 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0222…8ff7backed Yes58c1,807,786$1,056,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751,001.433100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+72%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No42c1,277,422$536,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536,205.866657.6%38 W · 28 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee0d…57abbacked No41c303,933$123,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123,899.84654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes61c298,692$181,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116,976.3729846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Yes59c275,000$161,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113,500.173357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No40c165,482$66,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66,808.266446.2%307 W · 357 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No37c151,736$55,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,907.952,02543.7%884 W · 1,141 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No41c140,000$57,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,4007346.6%34 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No41c108,998$44,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,689.316844.1%30 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes58c80,000$46,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,6003842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes61c79,881$49,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,821.8712344.7%55 W · 68 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No41c73,760$30,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,3791838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No40c73,746$29,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,498.33751.4%19 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No39c73,200$28,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,743.3915442.9%66 W · 88 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No41c69,879$28,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,379.2460041.8%251 W · 349 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No42c68,484$28,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,421.9910636.8%39 W · 67 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes66c57,684$38,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,612.48155.6%45 W · 36 L+7.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked No42c52,679$22,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,1253652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee67…ef38backed Yes59c50,000$29,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,500.016048.3%29 W · 31 L+10.6wins+0.18per pick31cpaid+68.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No34c44,268$15,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,033.7846048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No42c42,751$17,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,912.215545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No40c36,387$14,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,554.888040%32 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed No42c35,877$15,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,068.251850%9 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes59c32,960$19,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,372.4626047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes59c30,430$17,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,601.2713245.5%60 W · 72 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed No42c30,000$12,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,600862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab75…cce0backed Yes58c29,715$17,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,480.612470.8%17 W · 7 L+4.5wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+27.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No39c29,048$11,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,288.425347.2%25 W · 28 L+6.1wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+49.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No41c28,900$11,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,8491833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No41c27,000$11,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,07028643.7%125 W · 161 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No41c25,350$10,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,393.58231.7%26 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62a1…f032backed Yes60c25,000$14,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,100.382147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No41c25,000$10,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,249.962729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No1c24,521$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.257346.6%34 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No39c20,957$8,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,185.8458248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No42c20,926$8,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,766.774641.3%19 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6431…ab69backed Yes59c20,000$11,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,2001163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No41c19,455$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,999.997145.1%32 W · 39 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No41c18,888$7,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,744.0813843.5%60 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes67c16,150$10,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,276.63857.9%22 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+44.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2809…b26abacked No39c16,100$6,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,228.961850%9 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+57%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No34c16,000$5,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,4404346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed No40c15,539$6,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,215.591546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes58c14,405$8,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,046.3212848.4%62 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No36c14,311$5,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,085.356541.5%27 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No40c13,247$5,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,307.7438748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No39c12,636$4,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,927.5643427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No41c12,500$5,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,124.9911218.8%21 W · 91 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-34.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked No42c12,500$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,249.913545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes60c12,488$7,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,039.929350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No32c12,204$3,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,943.664020%8 W · 32 L-9.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-59.6%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No38c12,144$4,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,617.416036.9%59 W · 101 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes79c11,911$9,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,548.813554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Yes60c11,860$7,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,7441573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No38c11,353$4,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,364.528938.2%34 W · 55 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed No41c11,070$4,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,538.76451.6%33 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x87a1…b6babacked Yes58c10,345$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,344.831060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No38c10,000$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8006659.1%39 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+50.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d04…7a5fbacked No40c10,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0002941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No42c10,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,199.993141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9707…1861backed No41c9,926$4,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,069.461457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Yes58c8,926$5,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,748.867542.7%32 W · 43 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No42c8,200$3,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4443447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…3e2bbacked Yes59c8,096$4,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,319.51770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No39c7,790$3,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,037.9310733.6%36 W · 71 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed No39c7,776$3,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,063.531330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked No42c7,700$3,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2345856.9%33 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Yes58c7,291$4,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,055.719149.5%45 W · 46 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No39c7,001$2,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,747.312352.8%65 W · 58 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No32c6,950$2,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,22444933.6%151 W · 298 L-12.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-38.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No41c6,375$2,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,613.753743.2%16 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4219…7855backed Yes58c6,259$3,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,628.871540%6 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Yes61c6,208$3,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,448.192934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No41c6,070$2,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,493.765944.1%26 W · 33 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2682…582abacked No41c6,008$2,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,463.332737%10 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed No41c6,000$2,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4601942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed No41c6,000$2,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4602759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No41c6,000$2,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,459.964247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd543…c181backed Yes60c5,900$3,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3602100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+186.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No7c5,850$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.071,07134.8%373 W · 698 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Yes61c5,804$3,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,280.151566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+44.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Yes65c5,787$3,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,009.6410849.1%53 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes59c5,725$3,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.327247.1%128 W · 144 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes62c5,235$3,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,986.887750.6%39 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No41c5,098$2,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,08316144.1%71 W · 90 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes59c5,085$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,084.7515252%79 W · 73 L-11.9wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed No40c5,050$2,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0201266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x02b6…fbbbbacked No40c5,001$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked No39c5,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9501533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Yes60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0002065%13 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No39c4,390$1,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,712.242951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No41c4,341$1,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,777.935549.1%27 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked No40c4,292$1,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,716.642245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3435…1913backed No39c4,178$1,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,629.114748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1333…173bbacked No40c4,114$1,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,645.381127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-42%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed No41c4,000$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6402748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No41c4,000$1,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,634.765248.1%25 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No18c3,903$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.2234342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes77c3,878$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.039071.1%64 W · 26 L+12.2wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+28.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes72c3,850$2,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.424946.9%23 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.