Premier League · resolved market
Will Tottenham vs. Manchester City end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfab2a9ee7499a4d8a33ca6790bbdf1848de2cd2866616f5d749d914cc9b2ba1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 23c | 8,600$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed No | 77c | 8,460$6,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945.77 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 22c | 1,334$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.51 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 77c | 1,237$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.87 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 24c | 1,155$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.24 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,121$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.25 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x471f…f60abacked No | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…c510backed Yes | 24c | 616$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 77c | 581.67$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2c…8970backed Yes | 24c | 535.42$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 21c | 492.5$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.3 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd9…d2f6backed No | 78c | 479.35$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Yes | 23c | 450$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a84…da48backed Yes | 24c | 413.79$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 75c | 394$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 23c | 344.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.85 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…be56backed Yes | 25c | 320$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6980…a328backed Yes | 23c | 260.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 25cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46ec…e15bbacked No | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c2…bfd1backed No | 78c | 255.67$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 77c | 229.87$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.87 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes | 25c | 200.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 76c | 143.78$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 75c | 104.35$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff0…40b9backed No | 78c | 99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6173…4258backed Yes | 22c | 99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf0…5c64backed No | 78c | 97.55$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 76cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked No | 77c | 94.5$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…9ca0backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc0…5cdbbacked Yes | 24c | 81.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c3…3124backed Yes | 24c | 81.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Yes | 23c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x176b…1fe9backed Yes | 22c | 75.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…37e6backed No | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf71…2898backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fa…7bd1backed No | 78c | 60.26$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5c…7f36backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae23…71b3backed No | 78c | 47.41$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…375abacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…c37fbacked No | 78c | 20.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tottenham vs. Manchester City end in a draw?this page
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-26?Yes won
- Will Tottenham win on 2025-02-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.