TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$157,115
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$200,296

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,115 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No47c36,342$16,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,966.8579639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4219…850ebacked Yes55c23,509$12,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,582.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed Yes61c10,485$6,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,139.414264.3%27 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes49c6,542$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,342.29235.9%33 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed No26c5,812$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,525.427458.1%43 W · 31 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked No48c5,573$2,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,661.194742.6%20 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No52c5,550$2,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,875.2914659.6%87 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Yes74c5,320$3,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,401.964766%31 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes50c4,034$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,034.4811548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8322…fd9bbacked Yes48c3,725$1,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,936.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59c0…cd82backed No51c3,723$1,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,898.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-53.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes50c3,590$1,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,803.998045%36 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a26…410ebacked Yes49c3,233$1,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,648.981952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+71.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No30c2,901$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.2638645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb826…8d67backed Yes50c2,221$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.026137.7%23 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No49c2,005$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.5941437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73cb…b0d0backed Yes48c1,847$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.192653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No52c1,836$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.532158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No34c1,824$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.2437652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78044939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a93…583fbacked Yes49c1,377$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.07450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No50c1,370$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.0583459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeefa…d1a2backed No52c1,100$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes54c1,028$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.7814156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51013547.4%64 W · 71 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No48c999.99$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47516660.8%101 W · 65 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32bd…c195backed Yes54c897.71$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.24850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked No52c723.89$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.35444.4%24 W · 30 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No49c682.39$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.1981559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes49c620.61$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.516327%17 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes63c608.54$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.1669772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes61c601.12$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.5821153.1%112 W · 99 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes61c549$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.1136954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed No8c547.72$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6614732.7%48 W · 99 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25040640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fa0…e7cfbacked Yes71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1451258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2105…64adbacked Yes48c496.56$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.141435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25eb…8ce7backed No48c471.96$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.3217447.7%83 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00e2…d56abacked No47c465.13$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.612733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x789e…c510backed Yes73c422.51$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.512152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7532…f9f3backed Yes51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.161764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+30.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5444…26b1backed Yes53c379.99$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.81566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+36.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6415347.7%73 W · 80 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No44c355$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.0540135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Yes47c331.74$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.825536.4%20 W · 35 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked No52c307.69$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1606741.8%28 W · 39 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Yes53c299.99$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14111761.5%72 W · 45 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Yes68c283.4$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.859355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Yes72c279.17$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.172969%20 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bce…c476backed Yes53c266.7$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.727346.6%34 W · 39 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes57c261.59$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.597341.1%30 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No39c253.31$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9965557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe060…fda8backed Yes75c250.39$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.68155.6%45 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa822…64e6backed Yes57c235.67$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.531735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yes50c230$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11524566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe07c…551dbacked Yes76c219.13$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.59966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e07…480abacked Yes56c214.29$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.29450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b60…09cabacked Yes49c212.2$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.22475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+56.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes57c210.53$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.539938.4%38 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0832737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4407…8f2bbacked Yes54c203.7$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.71741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa66e…3430backed Yes50c200.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.52133.3%7 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-28.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3390…95d6backed Yes50c200.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.21450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Yes49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1023348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x85c9…8beabacked No30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-24.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb6c…e44fbacked No50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007159.2%42 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9429751.9%154 W · 143 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0560…d77dbacked Yes53c195.42$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.852744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes54c190$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.49858.2%57 W · 41 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes48c181.6$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.619348.4%45 W · 48 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes53c180$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.627752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x94eb…37e6backed Yes71c180$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.22161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a7…6a2abacked Yes54c166.67$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.67837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7865…45e8backed Yes49c146.94$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.94742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed No49c144$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.949756.7%55 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d50…3b2fbacked No53c133.66$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.84650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42e0…0578backed No52c130.58$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.92055%11 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9cb…9bd6backed Yes54c128.81$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.254100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8588…de5ebacked Yes74c125$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x326c…73acbacked No47c122.11$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.39425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-38.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34c5…f2afbacked Yes49c121.73$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.732846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc20c…fa4bbacked Yes48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.41752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0575…a83fbacked No47c119.5$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.56540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-34.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0b7…af8bbacked Yes55c118.18$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.183237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c5a…963dbacked Yes54c114.76$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04ef…c0f1backed Yes55c113.53$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.44580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6ef…9ea8backed No47c107.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.41580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+33.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf479…0fe3backed Yes56c103.85$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.45257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0426054.2%141 W · 119 L+1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x377e…fb4bbacked No47c100.02$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.01650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.566031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5214754.4%80 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Yes54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468453.6%45 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7d2…f555backed No52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5218260.4%110 W · 72 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36a0…8bfbbacked Yes48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked No50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a4f…c4f2backed No52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527146.5%33 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6173…4258backed No48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485026%13 W · 37 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Yes51c99.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed Yes61c99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6114062.9%88 W · 52 L+16.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+66.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.