TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x00e2…d56a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
163
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Cricket, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 58 out of 100; worst Weather at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT4254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a #1 seed win the NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$136.61
Will Connecticut win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.48
Will Duke win by 6+ points against Houston?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+100%+$16
Houston vs. Duke combine for 137+ points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.77
Will Cooper Flagg score 20+ points against Houston?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$123.54
Will Walter Clayton Jr. score 21+ points against Auburn?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$138.25
Will Auburn win the South region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$337.89
Will Michigan State win the South region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,915Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+49.2%+$941.75
Will Auburn make the 2025 Final Four?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$286.4
Michigan State vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$4,800
Will Michigan State make the 2025 Final Four?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$158.63
Will Tennessee win the Midwest region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,552Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+26.3%+$408.65
Will Duke win the East region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$701Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+56%+$392.19
Will Alabama win the East region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+37%+$270
Will Alabama make the 2025 Final Four?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$520
Will Duke make the 2025 Final Four?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,484Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,484.36
Will Florida make the 2025 Final Four?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$131.54
Will a #1 seed lose in the Sweet 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$767Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+208.2%+$1,596.29
3+ upsets in the Sweet 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$633Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$497.2
Michigan vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$596Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$168.22
Will Mississippi win the South region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$270
Ole Miss vs. Michigan Statebacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,218Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,217.93
Arkansas vs. Texas Techbacked Texas Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23,178Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$11,940.01
New Mexico vs. Michigan Statebacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,329Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$516.89
UCLA vs. Tennesseebacked UCLA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,189.45
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT3033.3%10 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+109.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$3,876Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,875.91
Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26,802Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$26,802.45
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,089Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,089.14
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,311Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,311.32
Will the Miami Heat win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will the Dallas Mavericks make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$196.25
Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+47.5%+$142
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+79.9%+$132.57
Will the Sacramento Kings make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+37.9%+$77.17
Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$347.85
Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$941Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+86.9%+$817.36
Will the Utah Jazz finish with the worst regular season record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+4,661.9%+$1,431.3
Will the LA Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$88.29
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,981Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+34.2%+$1,360.45
Will the Charlotte Hornets finish with the worst regular season record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.65
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,643Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,643.45
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,573Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,572.77
Will the New Orleans Pelicans finish with the worst regular season record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.23
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.66
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.14
Will the Orlando Magic finish with the worst regular season record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will the Detroit Pistons finish with the worst regular season record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Luka record a Triple Double tonight?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$218.59
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$657Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$657.22
Pistons vs. Hawksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST+81.8%+$30
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2025, EDT2733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea win the 2025 UEFA Conference League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$85.64
Will Newcastle United finish in the top 4 of EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,566Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,566.38
Will Nottingham Forest finish in the top 4 of EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$8,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$8,680.36
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,617Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,616.82
Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the EPL?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$5,582Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,582.1
Arsenal wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$3,595Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,595.04
Will Ipswich Town be relegated?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$146.14
Will Tottenham win on 2025-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.38
Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,931Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$994.56
Brighton & Hove Albion wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$361.63
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$523.71
Bournemouth wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.67
Fulham wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$341.2
Will Newcastle United win the 2024 Carabao Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,317Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+279.4%+$6,473.59
Will Liverpool win the 2024 Carabao Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,017Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+240.7%+$2,447.82
Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+56.3%+$8.03
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$218.61
Will Fulham win on 2025-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$156.04
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,094Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$1,094.21
Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,460Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$3,459.97
Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+53.8%+$315
Will Everton win on 2025-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$441.91
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$102
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+38.9%+$85.9
Will Newcastle win on 2025-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+37%+$68.11
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2025, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$864Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$864.44
Will Real Madrid or Atlético de Madrid advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Atlético Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$8,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$8,007.82
Will Borussia Dortmund or Lille advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Lille · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,593Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,592.76
Will Paris Saint-Germain or Liverpool advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Liverpool · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25,406Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$25,406.12
Will Bayern Munich or Bayer Leverkusen advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Bayern Munich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32,486Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+73.8%+$23,967.91
Will Benfica vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$591Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+29.9%+$176.41
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,976Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$2,976.28
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-03-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$951Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$950.76
Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$184.99
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$972Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$972.44
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST+38.9%+$15.66
Will PSV Eindhoven advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$685Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$685.44
Will Juventus advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$498.07
Will Manchester City advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,540Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST+26.6%+$410.01
Will Real Madrid advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,088Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST+27.4%+$572.36
Will Benfica advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$46.34
Will Club Brugge advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+138.1%+$225.04
Will Atalanta advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+144.4%+$384.18
Will Celtic advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will Feyenoord advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,607Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+174%+$4,535.31
Will AC Milan advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$795Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+165.6%+$1,315.9
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,366Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$1,365.81
All 22 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$527Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+354.5%+$1,868.18
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 American League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will the New York Yankees win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.34
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the NL West Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+25%+$20.12
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2025 American League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the NL Central Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.73
Will the Atlanta Braves win the NL East Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$25.39
All 8 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2025, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-65.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2025, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+112.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+53%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alex Pereira win by KO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+65.8%+$51.78
Pereira vs. Ankalaevbacked Ankalaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23,830Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$25,816.23
Turner vs. Bahamondesbacked Turner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST-100%-$11.59
Lemos vs. Lucindobacked Lemos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,336Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST+138.1%+$3,225.48
All 4 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$396.7
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48,328Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+135.6%+$65,523.04
Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$160.49
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-48.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+170.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahce win on 2025-02-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+56.3%+$244.76
Will Union St. Gilloise win on 2025-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+284.6%+$657.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ethereum all time high by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the CDU/CSU win by less than 2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$595Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$595.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 Indian Wells Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$119.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Artur Beterbiev vs. Dmitry Bivolbacked Beterbiev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10,922Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10,921.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 China Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$292.11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.