NBA · resolved market
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x104624023ff6372af967107d300906c1d92a930b87e1703e5d8e31e86c78246e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,428
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,428 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6307…2b67backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed No | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.22 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 49c | 2,978$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.37 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 64c | 2,796$1,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.13 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c70…232abacked No | 43c | 1,780$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.77 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 42c | 1,710$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.88 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 48c | 1,227$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.82 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 48c | 1,203$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.23 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked No | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0678…9fd0backed Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…4830backed No | 50c | 940$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 59c | 805.33$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.19 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 56c | 682$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.18 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fab…485cbacked No | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 54c | 595.56$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.24 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Yes | 77c | 517.82$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…3e37backed No | 50c | 515$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac61…f5f7backed No | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 54c | 492.1$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.05 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 63c | 478$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.86 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 13c | 439.77$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.17 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ce…a356backed Yes | 50c | 410$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd3…cc49backed Yes | 50c | 340$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa755…2f4bbacked Yes | 50c | 335$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…d56abacked No | 56c | 298.56$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.57 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +109.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 64c | 262$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.32 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…caefbacked No | 49c | 260.24$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.05 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…3505backed No | 50c | 255$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed No | 74c | 240.1$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.43 | 95 | 16.8%16 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b2…3531backed Yes | 50c | 230$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Yes | 36c | 222$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Yes | 55c | 213.32$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.86 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…e5d0backed Yes | 50c | 210$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Yes | 43c | 201.89$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.65 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 26c | 197.75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.39 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7503…212bbacked Yes | 50c | 195$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f4…90f7backed Yes | 50c | 190$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1d…9a9bbacked Yes | 50c | 130$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 38c | 128.32$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.56 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a3…cd82backed No | 24c | 124.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 46c | 101.32$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.52 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45ba…e172backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf91f…a82bbacked Yes | 54c | 93.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff26…b20dbacked Yes | 53c | 85.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…ffdcbacked No | 24c | 82.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +107%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…531cbacked Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb0…5106backed Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x634c…4d23backed No | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked No | 73c | 79$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 102 | 26.5%27 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 46c | 72.19$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.78 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x929e…d39abacked Yes | 32c | 72.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 50c | 55.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…9ce4backed Yes | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 199 | 52.3%104 W · 95 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked Yes | 66c | 48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed No | 33c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6306…53ffbacked Yes | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…0972backed No | 59c | 26.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 48c | 25.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed Yes | 45c | 25.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c5…dc8abacked Yes | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Yes | 41c | 24.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 356 | 60.4%215 W · 141 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d26…7472backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbf…08afbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2f…73d0backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd3…e233backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db8…af9abacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b58…7142backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd713…4662backed Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81a0…d952backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef74…2878backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb53f…e0b9backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…ecd1backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e55…2b2abacked Yes | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?this page
- Will the Brooklyn Nets make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Dallas Mavericks make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Detroit Pistons make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Houston Rockets make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Indiana Pacers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the LA Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Sacramento Kings make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Toronto Raptors make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Utah Jazz make the NBA Playoffs?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.