NBA · resolved market
Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08075f992129ccb958e624b318efbe5202ecf88f9c525de88b6475641d81394f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed No | 8c | 4,010$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.79 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…d56abacked No | 21c | 1,640$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.85 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +109.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 29c | 1,612$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.68 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 28c | 1,470$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.4 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd85f…cb09backed No | 7c | 1,250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…2a89backed No | 50c | 1,181$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.94 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 36cpaid | -87%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 11c | 1,134$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.04 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked No | 57c | 995$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.4 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3df0…48f0backed Yes | 59c | 946$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.86 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfb…bea8backed No | 19c | 776$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 5c | 771.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 7c | 749.53$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked No | 41c | 710.82$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.56 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 640.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x831b…eed5backed Yes | 57c | 522.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.41 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4176…7d36backed Yes | 60c | 503.98$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 30c | 474.76$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.79 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 22c | 454.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.36 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x141e…8c87backed No | 7c | 437$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…a550backed No | 4c | 383.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 60c | 340$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d34…17e8backed Yes | 39c | 330$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.3 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +94%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed No | 5c | 280.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed No | 8c | 274.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x318a…360bbacked No | 8c | 270.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51d6…d072backed Yes | 61c | 267$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.91 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b7…c9b5backed No | 8c | 246.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 19c | 236.4$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.76 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 9c | 171.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 79 | 5.1%4 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 24c | 156.73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 8c | 140.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Yes | 58c | 124.01$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…a576backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 157 | 24.2%38 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed No | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 258 | 51.6%133 W · 125 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked No | 66c | 70$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 229 | 39.7%91 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 50c | 63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 35c | 52.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 39c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 152 | 19.1%29 W · 123 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…e696backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed Yes | 44c | 35.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 182 | 46.7%85 W · 97 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4de7…80ebbacked Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +266%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?this page
- Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Dallas Mavericks make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Detroit Pistons make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Houston Rockets make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Indiana Pacers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the LA Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Sacramento Kings make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Toronto Raptors make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Utah Jazz make the NBA Playoffs?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.