TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x60b7…c9b5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst World Politics at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT3537.1%13 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+73.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$298.73
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.07
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.25
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$120.23
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$281
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$425.19
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$147.65
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$90.91
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$102
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$34.48
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$47.14
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+614.3%+$122.86
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+1,650%+$247.5
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+686.5%+$102.98
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+1,100.1%+$132.02
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+80.7%+$12.11
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.5
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$201.64
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.5
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+190.7%+$269.48
Will Lee Jae-myung win between 51% and 53% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$233.29
Will Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$987Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$986.99
Will Lee Jae-myung win between 53% and 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.52
Will Lee Jun-seok win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.28
Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+135.1%+$108.04
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,046Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,046.13
Will Hong Joon-pyo be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.86
Will Lee Jun-seok endorse Kim Moon-soo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.05
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.8
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in Manitoba in the next Canadian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$33.95
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$594Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+28.6%+$169.79
Will the Liberal Party win by 50–74 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$233.37
Will the Liberal Party win by 1–24 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$814Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$814.43
Will the Liberal Party win by 75–99 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.15
Will the Liberal Party win by 25–49 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+144.4%+$550.99
Will 7-8 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,332Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+66.5%+$885.39
All 18 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+73.6%+$17.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TikTok be banned again before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+65.4%+$371.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$161.37
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.