TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Pacers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,135,672
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,234,314

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,135,672 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 543 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc58d…9373backed Pacers35c93,106$32,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,767.328241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8679…4659backed Cavaliers69c58,725$40,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,059.544551.1%23 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4da0…deb5backed Cavaliers61c47,807$29,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,644.732100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf4d…d242backed Pacers39c47,807$18,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,644.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Pacers40c32,506$12,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,894.0347848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Pacers16c29,566$4,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,834.368036.3%29 W · 51 L-8.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Pacers27c24,712$6,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,696.4628341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Cavaliers65c23,881$15,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,409.3962351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Cavaliers62c18,455$11,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,933.3810926.6%29 W · 80 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe47c…3afabacked Cavaliers63c17,872$11,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,612.6523342.9%100 W · 133 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Cavaliers64c16,834$10,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,060.1836748.2%177 W · 190 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Cavaliers65c16,580$10,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,802.9813560.7%82 W · 53 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93dc…896fbacked Pacers2c15,300$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.55129.4%15 W · 36 L+6.8wins+0.13per pick16cpaid+57.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Pacers37c15,000$5,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,55027251.1%139 W · 133 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ba8…61b7backed Pacers0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153925.6%10 W · 29 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick17cpaid-9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5aca…8b98backed Pacers34c15,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,099.993036.7%11 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Cavaliers65c14,976$9,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,281.2359653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pacers38c13,239$5,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,052.5596447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Pacers26c11,912$3,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,087.2637734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x188d…6583backed Pacers5c10,598$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005038%19 W · 31 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+25.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1571…c4e6backed Pacers26c10,445$2,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,743.8819419.1%37 W · 157 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Pacers5c10,078$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50519535.4%69 W · 126 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Cavaliers65c10,000$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,499.998053.8%43 W · 37 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-10.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Cavaliers70c9,413$6,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,83122457.1%128 W · 96 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Cavaliers64c9,376$6,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,375.3461851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6094…3bd9backed Pacers35c9,171$3,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,222.68536.5%31 W · 54 L+8.8wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+61.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Pacers39c8,500$3,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,314.9876850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Pacers0c8,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.43350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Pacers8c7,610$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.3626431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Pacers32c7,395$2,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,394.441,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Pacers36c7,299$2,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,62714434%49 W · 95 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Pacers2c7,151$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.378783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c4b…f6dbbacked Cavaliers66c7,129$4,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,423.87650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Pacers8c7,109$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55166732.4%216 W · 451 L+41.8wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-3.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c70…232abacked Pacers37c7,049$2,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5885337.7%20 W · 33 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Pacers5c6,514$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.7425536.9%94 W · 161 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a61…5781backed Cavaliers64c6,346$4,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,292.273666.7%24 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Pacers1c6,000$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.643369.7%23 W · 10 L+6.6wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+47.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x322d…305fbacked Pacers35c6,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1001145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+47.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa78d…e8cbbacked Pacers1c5,905$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.812920.7%6 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick8cpaid+24.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers35c5,750$2,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,012.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0b…95b7backed Pacers7c5,738$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.8570%0 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fea…7375backed Pacers44c5,681$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf586…f614backed Cavaliers66c5,508$3,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,872.753243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff72…512bbacked Pacers9c5,401$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.7621935.6%78 W · 141 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cce…6e85backed Pacers10c5,249$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.4522039.1%86 W · 134 L+14.0wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x007b…adc6backed Pacers15c5,108$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74514727.9%41 W · 106 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29fc…20b7backed Pacers19c5,021$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8aa…ae12backed Cavaliers59c5,000$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0507829.5%23 W · 55 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Cavaliers66c4,760$3,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,618.2738143%164 W · 217 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb142…cd11backed Pacers20c4,742$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.984148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+35.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Cavaliers58c4,550$2,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,895.4318146.4%84 W · 97 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Cavaliers65c4,444$2,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,555.420248%97 W · 105 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Cavaliers64c4,308$2,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.9266853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Pacers24c4,265$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.0413133.6%44 W · 87 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Pacers5c4,155$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Pacers5c4,105$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.2213731.4%43 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe25b…0f1bbacked Cavaliers66c4,000$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3603948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f8…b76fbacked Pacers42c4,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.952860.7%17 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+41%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdfd8…65f3backed Pacers38c3,944$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.6340%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x171f…95fbbacked Pacers6c3,929$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.761741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+98.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa535…6bf5backed Pacers5c3,748$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.449557.9%55 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0327…1390backed Cavaliers63c3,735$2,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,382.111163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+63%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9263…1999backed Pacers1c3,633$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.771088.3%9 W · 99 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Cavaliers64c3,500$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.9819448.5%94 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b42…ae6ebacked Cavaliers65c3,481$2,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.413636.8%50 W · 86 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa34e…895ebacked Pacers31c3,248$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002924.1%7 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Cavaliers61c3,225$1,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.773647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Pacers14c3,038$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.1823237.1%86 W · 146 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Pacers2c3,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Cavaliers64c3,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0801978.6%17 W · 180 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-73.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Cavaliers56c2,998$1,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.331,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Cavaliers60c2,984$1,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.491,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ec…b8adbacked Cavaliers63c2,766$1,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.28757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick47cpaid-16.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca01…c62fbacked Pacers38c2,749$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.52837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadb9…2067backed Pacers11c2,714$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.3712941.9%54 W · 75 L+10.0wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+38.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Pacers30c2,679$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.8129957.2%171 W · 128 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe10e…cfddbacked Pacers3c2,635$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.553522.9%8 W · 27 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick23cpaid+74.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6976…03b1backed Pacers4c2,632$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100771.4%5 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.44per pick28cpaid+252.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4ef0…20cbbacked Cavaliers63c2,607$1,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.732722.2%6 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d19…7e13backed Cavaliers58c2,607$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.07250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…1dd2backed Pacers35c2,590$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.426344.4%28 W · 35 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeaa9…c084backed Cavaliers63c2,505$1,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.811650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa53e…8ba5backed Pacers42c2,504$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.053043.3%13 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+30.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Cavaliers66c2,500$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85066744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Pacers32c2,500$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8005536.4%20 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed Pacers6c2,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021723.5%51 W · 166 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+75.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f32…3e2cbacked Pacers19c2,500$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47414041.4%58 W · 82 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cavaliers62c2,454$1,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.62,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Pacers1c2,450$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.57502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Pacers40c2,372$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.9961835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x411c…e9c0backed Pacers5c2,322$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.9110724.3%26 W · 81 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89ed…52d3backed Cavaliers67c2,310$1,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.231838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aeb…06f8backed Pacers2c2,299$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde97…e43ebacked Cavaliers66c2,273$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.735843.1%25 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Pacers35c2,250$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.536843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7dd…3696backed Pacers1c2,204$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213831.6%12 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+109.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Pacers26c2,162$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.7370640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83e3…5118backed Pacers13c2,120$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.69333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick19cpaid+31.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Cavaliers65c2,062$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.616844%74 W · 94 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.