TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Pistons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Pistons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,387,689
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,473,236

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,387,689 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 437 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3196…146fbacked Pistons53c82,756$43,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,860.581936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Pistons66c79,252$52,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,411.0322457.1%128 W · 96 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8377…4198backed Knicks46c70,606$32,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,382.265940.7%24 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Pistons52c51,750$26,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,91019149.7%95 W · 96 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Knicks48c50,200$24,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,046.2628341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6790…5e06backed Knicks47c50,000$23,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,5007335.6%26 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Knicks70c39,148$27,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,930.5796447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a75…4347backed Pistons28c33,442$9,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,449.2613248.5%64 W · 68 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x93fc…34b6backed Pistons52c30,000$15,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,599.884025%10 W · 30 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-47.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Pistons53c26,561$14,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,077.4836748.2%177 W · 190 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae36…8fb5backed Knicks42c26,217$11,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,176.2110357.3%59 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Pistons53c26,142$13,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,957.6124831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Pistons37c25,800$9,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,600.841,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05b9…af0abacked Pistons22c25,473$5,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,713.332240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Knicks71c24,904$17,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,280.5870147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Knicks18c22,178$3,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,242.1912938%49 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe47c…3afabacked Knicks35c17,275$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,274.623342.9%100 W · 133 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Knicks46c14,799$6,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,958.7246426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Knicks72c14,518$10,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,054.4129957.2%171 W · 128 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Knicks44c14,340$6,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,978.365433.3%18 W · 36 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd065…93e8backed Pistons54c13,252$7,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,112.910945.9%50 W · 59 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Knicks47c12,843$6,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,806.928241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Pistons52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Pistons16c9,999$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.8580146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Knicks48c9,648$4,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,034.177745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68a1…303bbacked Pistons19c9,095$1,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,682.821428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-39.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Pistons53c8,437$4,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,453.0122137.6%83 W · 138 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Knicks40c8,233$3,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,968.151,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Pistons51c7,830$4,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,002.9828347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Pistons18c7,827$1,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,385.4326431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…1dd2backed Knicks47c7,664$3,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,061.786344.4%28 W · 35 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Pistons54c6,818$3,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,681.8661851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8df…2521backed Pistons53c6,200$3,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2861163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+61.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd61c…5953backed Knicks47c6,188$2,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,279.641050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Knicks49c6,067$2,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,091.914434%49 W · 95 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Knicks50c5,852$2,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,923.813731.4%43 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12bd…730dbacked Knicks72c5,572$4,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560.222751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons41c4,986$2,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,024.013,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Knicks49c4,491$2,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,312.419849%48 W · 50 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Knicks41c4,456$1,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,643.757929.1%23 W · 56 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed Pistons51c4,366$2,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,229.2317256.4%97 W · 75 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Knicks47c3,830$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,029.795536.4%20 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Pistons29c3,801$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.111,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf586…f614backed Pistons42c3,755$1,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,563.723243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Knicks48c3,707$1,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,927.8718448.9%90 W · 94 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xabe9…8826backed Knicks47c3,440$1,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8324143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Knicks67c3,200$2,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05936843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9997…af3bbacked Knicks78c3,200$2,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.758259.8%49 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Knicks47c3,129$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,658.4466853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Pistons12c3,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36053134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd656…d127backed Pistons41c2,708$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.51346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Knicks46c2,525$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,363.631,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7967…f4a0backed Knicks46c2,500$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3506250%31 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Knicks42c2,407$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.882,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Knicks53c2,339$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.917943.6%78 W · 101 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Knicks60c2,294$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.045,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6641…4a1abacked Knicks48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.331752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+32.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Pistons51c2,006$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.8820047%94 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Pistons1c2,005$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.124423.8%58 W · 186 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-56.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Pistons59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1807352.1%38 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Pistons54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08019448.5%94 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Knicks46c1,947$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.3723135.1%81 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Knicks80c1,926$1,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.1520447.1%96 W · 108 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Knicks53c1,905$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.6948046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa34e…895ebacked Pistons53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002924.1%7 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Pistons54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008851.1%45 W · 43 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f9a…06d0backed Knicks50c1,851$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.925261.5%32 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+27.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Pistons50c1,820$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.723237.1%86 W · 146 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x265d…5329backed Knicks71c1,764$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.024740.4%19 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Knicks47c1,763$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.2537734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Knicks59c1,712$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.0388053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed Pistons41c1,700$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69925833.7%87 W · 171 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b8…9cafbacked Knicks57c1,682$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.313444.1%15 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Pistons17c1,600$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.512222.1%27 W · 95 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Knicks56c1,599$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.7120756%116 W · 91 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Pistons28c1,526$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.0370640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Knicks47c1,467$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.822,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1571…c4e6backed Pistons42c1,465$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.8319419.1%37 W · 157 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked Pistons41c1,405$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.814034.3%48 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Knicks71c1,399$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.8576850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60a5…4446backed Knicks49c1,379$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-32%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x06c6…9bc5backed Knicks66c1,352$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.92352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Pistons9c1,260$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.878783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Knicks48c1,252$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.041,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55ea…2ba7backed Knicks68c1,178$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.916563.1%41 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Pistons62c1,074$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66614563.4%92 W · 53 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9caf…94dcbacked Knicks48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Pistons1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Knicks50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50066153.3%352 W · 309 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Knicks47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5301,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Pistons25c1,000$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2458637.2%32 W · 54 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Pistons31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31050239%196 W · 306 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Knicks48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5201,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Pistons52c999.99$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.997051.4%36 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3375…a8d8backed Pistons20c998.81$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Knicks53c952.24$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.0320050.5%101 W · 99 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Pistons14c945.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9810530.5%32 W · 73 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+25.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa78d…e8cbbacked Knicks25c884.29$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.862920.7%6 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick8cpaid+24.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xae2d…8f7bbacked Knicks47c883.57$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.571540%6 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick26cpaid-6.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Knicks74c879.13$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.711,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.