TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5c0c…ad7c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
160
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: World Politics, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 59 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT7352.1%38 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$317.65
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$207.5
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+150%+$600
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$130
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$540
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+566.7%+$850
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+25%+$200
Will Pacers vs. Thunder be the 2025 NBA Finals matchup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,875Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$625
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$250
Will the Pacers beat the Knicks 4-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.53
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$350
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$553.7
Will the Thunder beat the Timberwolves 4-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$650
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$280
Will the Pacers beat the Knicks 4-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$330
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$726Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+181%+$1,314
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,180
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$396.54
Trail Blazers vs. Wizardsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+51.5%+$170
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$192
Wizards vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$117.03
Grizzlies vs. Bucksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+150%+$280.5
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$264
Lakers vs. Knicksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST+170.3%+$503.99
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT2969%20 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.59
Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+82.5%+$247.37
Will Everton win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$30
Will Bournemouth vs. Leicester end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$370
Will Brentford win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$680
Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$863Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+69.7%+$601.72
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$592Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$592
Will Leicester win on 2025-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$231.82
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+52.4%+$1,646.81
Will Leicester vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+42%+$83.91
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+39.6%+$79.17
Will Chelsea win on 2025-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Brentford win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+56.3%+$153.98
Will Ipswich win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$198.89
Will Arsenal win on 2025-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST+42.9%+$180
Will Wolves win on 2025-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+96.1%+$392
Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+28.2%+$169.23
Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$289.75
Will Brighton vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+75.4%+$95.01
Will Crystal Palace vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$666Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+34.7%+$231.09
Will Brentford win on 2025-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+33.3%+$166.77
Will Ipswich win on 2024-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$511Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST+36.9%+$188.42
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+69.5%+$244.26
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2025, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nationals vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+150%+$600
Orioles vs. Athleticsbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Mariners vs. Angelsbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Dodgers vs. Cardinalsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Mets vs. Rockiesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+300%+$750
Mets vs. Dodgersbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$649.99
Royals vs. Cardinalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$450
Angels vs. Red Soxbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$250
Diamondbacks vs. Bravesbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$250
Cubs vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$280
Rockies vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$788Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$788
Rays vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$757Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$239.21
Pirates vs. Padresbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$220
Angels vs. Guardiansbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$609Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$608.83
Cardinals vs. Rangersbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+25%+$200
Nationals vs. Diamondbacksbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$720
Tigers vs. Royalsbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$239.99
Rays vs. Astrosbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
Rays vs. Astrosbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$400
Yankees vs. Angelsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$250
All 20 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+112.8%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lee Jae-myung win between 49% and 51% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$990Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+102%+$1,010
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 8% and 11% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+239%+$1,410
Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 5-8%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$579Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+245.4%+$1,421
Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 8-11%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$589Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+239.6%+$1,411
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$350
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 70-72%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$690
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 68-70%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,300
All 8 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-39.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2024, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+9.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Broncos vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+72.4%+$73.72
Rams vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST-100%-$271.45
Ravens vs. Chargersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST+56.1%+$62.16
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Avalanchebacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$505.89
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST+40.9%+$195.67
Blues vs. Blackhawksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$776Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+25.7%+$199.45
All 3 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2024, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Louisville vs. Washingtonbacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+55.4%+$276.84
Alabama vs. Michiganbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+63.9%+$319.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,471Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+50.9%+$749.46
Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,074Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+132.8%+$1,426.3
Champions League Final: 3+ goals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$450
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon Final – Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+56.2%+$170.67
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,320
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul knockout Mike Tyson?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+53.8%+$54.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the match between Turkey and Wales end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+40.8%+$20.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.