MLB · resolved market
Pirates vs. Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5f8eddd4b75a5d6855d1299a9351da047f24ac49f18985dcf50ba50c4541151
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Piratesof Pirates, Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6bb…50bebacked Pirates | 33c | 9,995$3,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,696.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb2…1f6cbacked Padres | 67c | 9,995$6,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,696.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pirates | 36c | 6,340$2,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,064.81 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Padres | 67c | 5,224$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Padres | 23c | 5,161$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Padres | 62c | 3,714$2,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,291.28 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 73c | 3,066$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.95 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…1fa0backed Padres | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Padres | 16c | 2,500$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.99 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Padres | 15c | 2,268$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.84 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pirates | 50c | 1,956$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.77 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Pirates | 64c | 1,907$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.55 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c7…669bbacked Pirates | 33c | 1,900$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd31d…3e6abacked Pirates | 33c | 1,848$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Padres | 27c | 1,838$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Pirates | 76c | 1,750$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.15 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Padres | 11c | 1,679$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.68 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Pirates | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.15 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…b955backed Padres | 67c | 1,515$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.05 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…320dbacked Pirates | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Padres | 19c | 1,500$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.99 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Pirates | 78c | 1,441$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.9 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Padres | 35c | 1,417$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Padres | 8c | 1,245$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Pirates | 33c | 1,200$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.97 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Pirates | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Padres | 66c | 999.97$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.98 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eae…79d5backed Padres | 67c | 970$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc81c…9e5cbacked Padres | 67c | 970$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.9 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.41per pick | 52cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfd…e7cbbacked Padres | 67c | 930$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Padres | 15c | 908.25$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Padres | 45c | 900$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Padres | 6c | 896.96$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.61 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b5…0e50backed Padres | 67c | 878$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Pirates | 34c | 735.29$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.29 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Padres | 66c | 631.51$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.79 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Pirates | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.24 | 920 | 50%460 W · 460 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Padres | 21c | 497.57$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Pirates | 33c | 495$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.65 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Padres | 56c | 425.04$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Padres | 22c | 413.64$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Padres | 42c | 359.24$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.48 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Padres | 5c | 350$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…c481backed Pirates | 62c | 313.66$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.19 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 60cpaid | -38%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Padres | 67c | 313.43$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Padres | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Padres | 68c | 294.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pirates | 32c | 249.96$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.98 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Padres | 20c | 244.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Padres | 46c | 241.57$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.75 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Padres | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Padres | 6c | 192.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Pirates | 78c | 192.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Padres | 38c | 175$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Pirates | 31c | 161.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.47 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Pirates | 68c | 156.17$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.12 | 152 | 56.6%86 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates | 33c | 154.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.83 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Padres | 33c | 154.54$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Pirates | 32c | 151.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.51 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed Pirates | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Padres | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 68c | 146.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres | 68c | 146.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Padres | 69c | 134.15$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.14 | 1,055 | 50.3%531 W · 524 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Padres | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Pirates | 32c | 123.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.69 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Pirates | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Padres | 44c | 110.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Pirates | 32c | 100.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.43 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…cfddbacked Padres | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Padres | 66c | 99.96$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.98 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…103abacked Padres | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…ab8fbacked Pirates | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Pirates | 58c | 73.65$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc93b…ae97backed Padres | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…e26cbacked Pirates | 42c | 65.52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Padres | 49c | 61.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb130…6ee2backed Pirates | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Pirates | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7db…07f0backed Padres | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89ca…5b45backed Padres | 67c | 51.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Pirates | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65c8…4b32backed Pirates | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Padres | 23c | 47.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Pirates | 34c | 46.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Pirates | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbc…5d23backed Padres | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Padres | 68c | 39.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pirates | 76c | 36.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Padres | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0f…43e2backed Pirates | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a10…556cbacked Padres | 67c | 31.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Padres | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x818e…b787backed Padres | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pirates | 64c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8b…f7d9backed Pirates | 77c | 25.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ee…b6f8backed Padres | 68c | 24.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…3986backed Padres | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Padres | 68c | 19.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Padres | 66c | 18.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.