TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf7db…07f0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Earnings, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Earnings at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 16, 2025, EDT2842.9%12 W · 16 L-4.7wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-30.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$18.22
Marlins vs. Piratesbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.36
Reds vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Blue Jays vs. Twinsbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Cubs vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Phillies vs. Piratesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Marlins vs. Raysbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Orioles vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.28
Phillies vs. Blue Jaysbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Angels vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$12.92
Rockies vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Guardians vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$7.86
Cubs vs. Nationalsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Rockies vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Astros vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Twins vs. Athleticsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$13.04
Tigers vs. White Soxbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Angels vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Rockies vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.59
Yankees vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
White Sox vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$10.56
Cardinals vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Nationals vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Pirates vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Athletics vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$22.81
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Jetsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Flames vs. Predatorsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.46
Hurricanes vs. Bruinsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.39
Red Wings vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Islanders vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Flames vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$18.39
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Stars vs. Lightningbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Predators vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$9.2
Rangers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$9.56
Canucks vs. Starsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$9.78
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Jets vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$31.7
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$24.52
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$45.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+262.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+625.8%+$197.32
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mumbai Indians vs. Punjab Kingsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.38
Gujarat Titans vs. Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$36.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fluminense FC win on 2025-10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+37%+$13.68
Will Club Tijuana win on 2025-10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$26.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Los Heretics vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO5)backed Los Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$11.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.