MLB · resolved market
Angels vs. Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x530b064a12a5bb385ae8da31fdcba8e74650788a3e755fc6bb720403a2fa3639
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Angelsof Angels, Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $403,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $458,182
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $403,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 269 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x169a…e191backed Red Sox | 59c | 55,607$32,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,755.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c4…49a9backed Angels | 41c | 51,353$21,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,254.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…d372backed Angels | 48c | 46,439$22,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,338.52 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Sox | 17c | 38,473$6,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,481.42 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…6a94backed Angels | 41c | 30,643$12,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,079.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Red Sox | 56c | 28,535$15,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,986.1 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x470d…c245backed Red Sox | 59c | 26,855$15,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,844.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Red Sox | 58c | 20,000$11,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,600 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Angels | 42c | 13,518$5,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,840.5 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…5644backed Angels | 77c | 12,419$9,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,829.14 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5627…dd9cbacked Angels | 41c | 9,996$4,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,897.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…9340backed Red Sox | 59c | 9,996$5,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,897.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Red Sox | 58c | 9,788$5,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,675.03 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…6a9bbacked Red Sox | 57c | 9,207$5,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,248.09 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Red Sox | 13c | 6,658$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.96 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Red Sox | 11c | 5,090$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.02 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Red Sox | 57c | 4,620$2,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,621.84 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Red Sox | 57c | 4,484$2,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,555.95 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Angels | 42c | 4,405$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,554.93 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Red Sox | 58c | 4,340$2,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,517.2 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Red Sox | 19c | 4,252$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.57 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Angels | 59c | 4,216$2,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.31 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…9dd0backed Angels | 69c | 3,473$2,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.99 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Red Sox | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.99 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Red Sox | 31c | 2,956$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.93 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Red Sox | 26c | 2,913$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.94 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Angels | 42c | 2,700$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Angels | 76c | 2,627$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.55 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Red Sox | 21c | 2,594$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.4 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…41a9backed Angels | 43c | 2,300$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.62 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox | 26c | 2,038$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.93 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…fa5dbacked Red Sox | 57c | 2,008$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.54 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfc…b032backed Angels | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Red Sox | 57c | 1,930$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.13 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…90c1backed Angels | 59c | 1,862$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.68 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Red Sox | 24c | 1,592$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.47 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Red Sox | 51c | 1,592$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.93 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Angels | 52c | 1,530$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.83 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Red Sox | 15c | 1,360$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.59 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Angels | 42c | 1,280$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.8 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a39…e798backed Angels | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Angels | 43c | 1,183$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.55 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Angels | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Red Sox | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Angels | 43c | 956$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.92 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Angels | 42c | 952$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.16 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Red Sox | 29c | 860.19$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Red Sox | 58c | 849.94$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.97 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Red Sox | 12c | 793.66$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.95 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Red Sox | 7c | 748.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Angels | 65c | 723.02$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.13 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…e54bbacked Red Sox | 60c | 719.21$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.9 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Angels | 43c | 709.3$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.3 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Angels | 43c | 693.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.23 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Red Sox | 59c | 680.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Red Sox | 9c | 674.01$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Red Sox | 8c | 663.26$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.06 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x078c…a68abacked Red Sox | 58c | 650$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37aa…00febacked Red Sox | 10c | 640$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Angels | 42c | 636$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.63 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Angels | 50c | 613.9$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.9 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…eb7cbacked Red Sox | 6c | 600.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Angels | 74c | 599.86$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.86 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…13eebacked Angels | 69c | 584.72$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.84 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Angels | 43c | 580.51$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.89 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Angels | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.18 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Angels | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.18 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2efd…be4cbacked Angels | 43c | 567$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…7d2bbacked Angels | 78c | 510.12$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.12 | 32 | 81.3%26 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Angels | 53c | 503.09$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.08 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Red Sox | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Red Sox | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b33…391ebacked Angels | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Red Sox | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Angels | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9657…4faebacked Angels | 44c | 480$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f2…87d4backed Angels | 44c | 467.48$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a56…3b4ebacked Angels | 43c | 466$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…3b86backed Angels | 42c | 450$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…af7abacked Angels | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb4…7381backed Angels | 44c | 414.25$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.98 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3499…4f27backed Angels | 43c | 388$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Angels | 41c | 372.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.06 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Red Sox | 56c | 372.29$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.48 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec2…10dabacked Red Sox | 54c | 369$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.26 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4a…7568backed Red Sox | 59c | 361.57$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd954…cbebbacked Angels | 42c | 360.24$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…8a6bbacked Angels | 43c | 355.77$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47a3…f1ecbacked Angels | 43c | 350.32$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Red Sox | 23c | 349.72$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.07 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Red Sox | 4c | 341.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe956…64adbacked Red Sox | 58c | 331.64$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2578…690ebacked Red Sox | 58c | 331.28$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe858…6145backed Angels | 42c | 326.8$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Angels | 42c | 322.37$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.38 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a2…ecdfbacked Red Sox | 58c | 319.9$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.54 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1269…7665backed Red Sox | 58c | 308.38$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Red Sox | 56c | 307.16$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.01 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…f07abacked Angels | 44c | 305.23$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.18 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xafdf…9127backed Red Sox | 58c | 305.02$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.