TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8806…6a9b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: UFC, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2025, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$7,421Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$2,889.31
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$14,950.09
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 French Open? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$7,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$2,400
French Open: Sinner vs. Djokovicbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$7,700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$2,300
French Open: Musetti vs. Alcarazbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,299.95
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2025 French Open? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,280Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$522.25
French Open: Zverev vs. Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$8,298Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT+174.1%+$14,444.03
French Open: Paul vs. Alcaraz backed Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.41
French Open: Musetti vs. Tiafoebacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,980Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+37.2%+$736.24
French Open: Svitolina vs. Swiatekbacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,421Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,421.17
French Open: Sabalenka vs. Qinwenbacked Qinwen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,893Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,893.05
French Open: Bublik vs. Draperbacked Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$3,634Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,633.56
French Open: Musetti vs. Rune backed Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$616Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+30.6%+$188.38
French Open: Tiafoe vs. Altmaierbacked Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$170
French Open: Paolini vs. Svitolinabacked Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,327Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,327.19
French Open: Monfils vs. Draperbacked Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.05
French Open: Fearnley vs. Humbertbacked Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$5,114Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+118%+$6,033.92
French Open: Djokovic vs. Moutetbacked Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.02
All 18 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2025, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gastelum vs. Pyferbacked Pyfer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14,892Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+33.5%+$4,985.21
Bautista vs. Mixbacked Bautista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,876Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+175.1%+$3,284.85
Luque vs. Hollandbacked Holland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12,392Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+61.4%+$7,607.88
Murzakanov vs. Ribeirobacked Ribeiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.99
Spivac vs. Cortes-Acostabacked Cortes-Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$6,114Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+165.9%+$10,142.73
Williams vs. Gustafssonbacked Gustafsson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$20.39
Saragih vs. Sang Yoobacked Saragih · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,600.06
Salkilld vs. Ashmouzbacked Ashmouz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,100
Mederos vs. Choinskibacked Mederos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,187Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$1,650.19
Dos Santos vs. Ardeleanbacked Dos Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$6,115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,114.79
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-48.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will three total goals be scored in regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$796Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$796.33
Will Inter win on 2025-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$7,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+37%+$2,699.97
Will two total goals be scored in regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,184Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,184.11
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,997Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,996.96
Will one total goal be scored in regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$739Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$738.61
Will Marcus Thuram score a goal in the 2025 Champions League Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$93.36
Will Lautaro Martínez score a goal in the 2025 Champions League Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$19.72
Will Désiré Doué score a goal in the 2025 Champions League Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,724Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,723.74
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+27.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$7,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,900
Will Jalen Brunson score 31+ points against the Pacers? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,224.79
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.