Tennis · resolved market
French Open: Fearnley vs. Humbert
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9127fad6c9b7d95018047325505ed25c74d5ed940b3dff32d4778d8fbf5c227
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fearnleyof Fearnley, Humbert
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e11…9bacbacked Humbert | 47c | 60,130$28,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,399.79 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Fearnley | 50c | 18,339$9,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,186.47 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…6a9bbacked Fearnley | 46c | 11,147$5,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,033.92 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Fearnley | 65c | 9,689$6,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,405.39 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Fearnley | 42c | 6,650$2,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,857 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Fearnley | 75c | 5,300$3,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Humbert | 58c | 4,455$2,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,584.05 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Fearnley | 41c | 3,238$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.55 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Fearnley | 63c | 2,739$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.05 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Humbert | 28c | 1,772$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 111 | 23.4%26 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Fearnley | 56c | 1,349$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.46 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Fearnley | 47c | 1,279$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.12 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Fearnley | 43c | 1,065$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.45 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b7…9c41backed Fearnley | 45c | 925$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ff…86f3backed Fearnley | 47c | 875.08$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Humbert | 34c | 740.21$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.52 | 189 | 32.3%61 W · 128 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…a4b9backed Humbert | 55c | 620$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d3…2d11backed Humbert | 54c | 605$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Humbert | 55c | 526.39$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.51 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Fearnley | 47c | 515.3$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.3 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Humbert | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 231 | 52.4%121 W · 110 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…05cebacked Humbert | 54c | 490$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9315…89acbacked Humbert | 37c | 439.31$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.78 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08fb…109bbacked Fearnley | 46c | 410$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96f…86d8backed Fearnley | 46c | 410$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c6…d8a5backed Humbert | 54c | 405$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4228…964ebacked Humbert | 54c | 395$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e35…8b4dbacked Fearnley | 46c | 395$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Fearnley | 44c | 359.05$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.46 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…ccf3backed Fearnley | 46c | 320$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db7…44c1backed Fearnley | 46c | 260$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Fearnley | 46c | 241$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.14 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Fearnley | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe928…8e1fbacked Humbert | 48c | 224.86$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a2…2e58backed Humbert | 55c | 195$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Humbert | 55c | 182$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…029ebacked Fearnley | 46c | 180$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8660…fad0backed Humbert | 55c | 170$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Fearnley | 45c | 113.47$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.41 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Humbert | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca46…b2ebbacked Humbert | 54c | 105$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134b…f025backed Fearnley | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ab…790bbacked Fearnley | 45c | 71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Humbert | 58c | 63.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Fearnley | 47c | 61.34$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 437 | 49%214 W · 223 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Fearnley | 45c | 46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Fearnley | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5c…96cdbacked Fearnley | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dab…9a14backed Humbert | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46d8…45eebacked Fearnley | 45c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…8b0ebacked Fearnley | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +77%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.