TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$266,780
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$256,861

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $266,780 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xade3…c17dbacked No70c54,005$37,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,201.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick67cpaid+50.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x647d…5ce1backed Yes30c54,005$16,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,201.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc14…5e33backed Yes36c34,516$12,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,425.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab3…e967backed No64c34,516$22,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,425.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes34c16,434$5,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,560.4311547%54 W · 61 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No66c15,062$9,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,121.145255.8%29 W · 23 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+8.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes29c10,402$3,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,018.3421337.6%80 W · 133 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8806…6a9bbacked No70c8,004$5,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,374.29666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+27.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e11…9bacbacked Yes24c5,879$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,403.7150%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed Yes31c4,923$1,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,507.173619.4%7 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No72c4,076$2,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.362378.3%18 W · 5 L+4.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+39.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes6c3,697$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.458939.3%35 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes28c3,433$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.157739%30 W · 47 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No71c3,241$2,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.842669.2%18 W · 8 L+5.0wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+42.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes35c3,001$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.0112523.2%29 W · 96 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes4c2,388$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.148622.1%19 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5606100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b52…8a4fbacked Yes6c2,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1105521.8%12 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe411…04c5backed No70c1,784$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.553348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Yes8c1,733$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.563345.5%15 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2618…aecfbacked Yes54c1,488$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No67c1,430$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.665759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a49…15e6backed Yes7c1,342$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.89922.2%2 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-55.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa02f…e4b1backed Yes15c1,213$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.03137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick25cpaid-86.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d7b…6e23backed Yes32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-39.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1468…8ce2backed Yes38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x08fb…109bbacked Yes38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa78…7248backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103511.4%4 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick19cpaid+54.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2307…f1cebacked No62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3801100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e4e…7dc7backed Yes11c901.26$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.89250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+103.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x524c…64c8backed Yes22c832.87$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1821216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-50.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd12a…a11fbacked No62c755$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes4c697.12$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.81570%0 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes17c574.5$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3712616.7%21 W · 105 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-52%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcced…9ffebacked No77c568.68$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.91353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ff9…066abacked Yes32c561$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.52540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+66.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes32c529.55$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.29219.6%18 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04dc…2387backed No71c501$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.29540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1551020%2 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-40.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c0…722ebacked No62c481$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.784472.7%32 W · 12 L+8.9wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+39.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No71c450.24$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.7814356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed No70c440$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.856633.3%22 W · 44 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c8c…4ac2backed Yes4c400$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a8…5df3backed Yes29c386.55$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.11723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-42.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x616f…6012backed Yes39c381.56$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504228.6%12 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed Yes32c377.39$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.5412246.7%57 W · 65 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x098e…6fa2backed No72c368$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.844551.1%23 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Yes18c350$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6360%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3147…7667backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005418.5%10 W · 44 L-6.9wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-45.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4b7a…4817backed Yes32c343.68$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.546845.6%31 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes33c337.89$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.095137.3%19 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No63c311.39$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.510051%51 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No66c302.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1035154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Yes37c295.49$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.481822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-63.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b4a…5346backed Yes5c291.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fa1…dc77backed Yes27c285.94$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762030%6 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed No25c283.37$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.531741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+56.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b65…a9abbacked Yes7c281.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes37c269.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-56.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yes29c260$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.41346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b59…58f8backed Yes8c253.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Yes29c208$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.31742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No60c207.19$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.496966.7%46 W · 23 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa8a2…973cbacked Yes7c202.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-32.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed No69c199.03$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+53.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes20c194.27$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392714.8%4 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-55.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdf1…4892backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd535…262bbacked No62c160$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes24c156.19$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8312353.7%66 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dee…f4e6backed No67c155.53$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.111861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x760b…7420backed Yes20c155.29$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-52.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79c9…c040backed Yes36c150$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-56.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22b0…6faebacked Yes13c148.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203237.5%12 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01e9…3b95backed Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502725.9%7 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-21%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x828a…7e18backed Yes32c142$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.92714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-79.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402055%11 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7059…9683backed Yes38c131.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+57.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes27c131$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.367028.6%20 W · 50 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-54.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403321.2%7 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick14cpaid+41.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11a1…7afebacked Yes32c125$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.252227.3%6 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa378…1927backed Yes29c118.81$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.92540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0982…92c6backed Yes24c110.24$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.944015%6 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-39.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes28c106.19$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.558330.1%25 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No63c101.88$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0211266.1%74 W · 38 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xed61…4c0bbacked No64c100.01$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.15757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked No72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283633.3%12 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-32.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bac…cf49backed No67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No65c94.33$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.016866.2%45 W · 23 L+10.7wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+26.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7c83…7c3dbacked No62c85$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07b6…6faabacked No73c82.19$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.192653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa32c…d1bdbacked Yes32c74$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.681050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…5b14backed Yes25c65.68$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.56616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-76.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208338.6%32 W · 51 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96c9…2d04backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x18e8…1403backed Yes34c62.18$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.141020%2 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes33c56$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.412325.2%31 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x285e…1978backed Yes31c55.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.09250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc24a…5cd7backed Yes38c54.61$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked No66c52.61$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.895251.9%27 W · 25 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+23.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb287…c1c0backed Yes29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-32.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.