TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$273,354
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$269,085

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $273,354 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7e11…9bacbacked Yes12c116,576$13,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,877.8450%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed Yes9c10,481$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.543619.4%7 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8806…6a9bbacked No79c10,390$8,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,206.83666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+27.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb747…b050backed Yes20c10,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9505733.3%19 W · 38 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a46…bdf4backed Yes11c7,459$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.3770%0 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes22c6,212$1,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,385.0213219.7%26 W · 106 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0ec…7f1cbacked Yes22c5,847$1,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,314.121216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-60.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes20c5,517$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.589219.6%18 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae36…8fb5backed Yes10c4,791$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.15540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-32.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x591f…a286backed Yes5c4,538$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23040%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No80c4,277$3,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.65759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4040…e8abbacked Yes9c3,958$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.6530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b52…8a4fbacked Yes9c3,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2705521.8%12 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes11c2,829$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.788622.1%19 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc2e…2358backed No79c2,325$1,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.151872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+53.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x155c…1b09backed Yes18c2,217$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.312020%4 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd985…d2f5backed Yes11c2,083$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.57333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa1…dc77backed Yes12c2,073$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.822030%6 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No78c1,973$1,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.976866.2%45 W · 23 L+10.7wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+26.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb663…bedfbacked Yes10c1,938$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.21711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42f5…4183backed Yes18c1,066$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.012123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes9c1,011$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.677233.3%24 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6af…e12fbacked Yes12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204134.1%14 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa78…7248backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103511.4%4 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick19cpaid+54.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e60…b440backed Yes9c992.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2912419.4%24 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c7…5823backed No80c969$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc5…0c52backed Yes22c909.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fee…54fabacked Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002213.6%3 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3bc…927abacked Yes16c885$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1391546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick38cpaid-20.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Yes6c843.04$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5860%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2060…bfacbacked Yes13c824.29$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-78.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f11…4529backed Yes12c788.55$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9740%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c14…af5fbacked Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+37.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xced9…e7bebacked Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-52.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb03…59cabacked Yes15c764.9$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.22520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-60%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes9c694.69$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9612616.7%21 W · 105 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-52%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed No79c692.64$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.911060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b02…393ebacked Yes13c678.85$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x943f…a119backed Yes8c642.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c8c…4ac2backed Yes11c636.36$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Yes22c635.65$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.848027.5%22 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b65…a9abbacked Yes16c628.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb37…ff74backed Yes21c575$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.53735.1%13 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f69…18cabacked Yes16c572.45$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6570%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes16c565$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.652123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes20c557$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.277028.6%20 W · 50 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-54.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7081…bc4ebacked Yes22c541.82$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.630%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa02f…e4b1backed Yes5c538$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.23137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick25cpaid-86.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ec4…d553backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f95…8afcbacked Yes17c500$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5216…69ccbacked Yes19c499.99$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05ef…7d89backed Yes11c493.36$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f31…cd6fbacked Yes22c490.91$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10860%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3df1…38dfbacked Yes21c485.11$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-47.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes15c481.11$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7412325.2%31 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-56.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe877…32d1backed Yes22c460.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+80.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa134…7a0abacked Yes11c456.45$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0d8…e70cbacked Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x356a…4d34backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50100%0 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0982…92c6backed Yes16c450$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.54015%6 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-39.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdcb…d0fdbacked Yes12c430.83$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a45…cf97backed Yes16c343.87$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.215420.4%11 W · 43 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes10c343$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.791926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1691…f06dbacked Yes20c342.16$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.31315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-34.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes18c341$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.656827.9%19 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+19.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b59…58f8backed Yes11c316.45$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Yes9c300$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.260%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0065…02f3backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2d5…312abacked Yes7c271.34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x490f…17e5backed Yes13c263.03$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.93215.6%5 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-66.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe589…f7fabacked Yes12c257.52$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b0d…1744backed Yes19c250$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.58427.4%23 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+91.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f70…6215backed Yes11c250$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.51952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x159f…dfb1backed Yes11c242.86$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22b0…6faebacked Yes13c230.66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303237.5%12 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6261…7ce4backed Yes22c230$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.640%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7b3…246abacked Yes9c221.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.981723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-67.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes16c220$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.86633.3%22 W · 44 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ba6…09eabacked Yes11c220$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-71.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4440…5f67backed Yes12c218.52$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.941233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54db…0174backed Yes13c212.44$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.24520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-67.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x590c…1599backed Yes21c209.52$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4430%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes6c209.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12570%0 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes11c202.91$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.323321.2%7 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick14cpaid+41.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa811…dc76backed Yes24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef60…d6c2backed Yes17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick19cpaid-52.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f7d…7acdbacked Yes11c199.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2150%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79c9…c040backed Yes20c199.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-56.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes10c194.19$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192714.8%4 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-55.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes17c184.3$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.032123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick19cpaid-29.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cfa…f8b9backed Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes19c153.65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.811838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+91.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73e8…6ffdbacked Yes10c151$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.160%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf584…e58fbacked Yes10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1560%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd982…0ea9backed Yes23c149.39$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb97…1aa0backed Yes18c142.32$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5550%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf52…2dafbacked Yes19c142$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.29425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-68.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6da3…9b15backed Yes22c140$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.